--- title: "Construction Worker case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Construction Worker ($52.41) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 9 items with odds, observed 97.56% over 160 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/construction-worker rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Construction Worker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/construction-worker) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Construction Worker A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/construction-worker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/construction-worker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/construction-worker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/construction-worker?window=all) Price · $52.41 · 80.63 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $47.17 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.56% · 160 openings, odds method Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 70 openings · below min 30 days · 97.56% ±18.05 160 openings since tracking started · 97.56% ±18.05 160 openings 58.5% 87.5% 116.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/construction-worker?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/construction-worker?window=7d) | 70 | 86.33% ±27.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/construction-worker) | 160 | 97.56% ±18.1 | +0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/construction-worker?window=all) | 160 | 97.56% ±18.1 | +0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 166 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $196 302 gems | 20.8% | 11 | 8.3 | 1.33× | | [SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-factory-new) | 15.0% | $146 225 gems | 46.6% | 24 | 24.9 | 0.96× | | [XM1014 \| Blaze Orange (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-factory-new) | 20.0% | $61.13 94.05 gems | 25.9% | 37 | 33.2 | 1.11× | | [P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $27.20 41.84 gems | 2.9% | 5 | 8.3 | 0.60× | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $22.11 34.01 gems | 2.3% | 6 | 8.3 | 0.72× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8.38 12.89 gems | 0.9% | 9 | 8.3 | 1.08× | | [MP5-SD \| Nitro (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-nitro-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $3.80 5.85 gems | 0.4% | 12 | 8.3 | 1.45× | | [MP9 \| Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-orange-peel-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.33 0.51 gems | 0.1% | 28 | 33.2 | 0.84× | | [G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.16 0.24 gems | 0.1% | 34 | 33.2 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=construction-worker) [G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) Hidden $52.41 80.63 gems $0.16 0.24 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:10 UTC [SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-factory-new) Hidden $52.41 80.63 gems $146 225 gems 2.79x 2026-11-10 09:10 UTC [MP5-SD | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-nitro-factory-new) Hidden $52.41 80.63 gems $3.80 5.85 gems 0.07x 2026-11-10 09:10 UTC [G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) Hidden $52.41 80.63 gems $0.16 0.24 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:10 UTC [G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) Hidden $52.41 80.63 gems $0.16 0.24 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:10 UTC [XM1014 | Blaze Orange (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-factory-new) [Armands Miesnieks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Armands%20Miesnieks) $52.41 80.63 gems $61.13 94.05 gems 1.17x 2026-11-10 09:10 UTC [SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-factory-new) Hidden $52.41 80.63 gems $146 225 gems 2.79x 2026-11-10 02:17 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) Hidden $52.41 80.63 gems $8.38 12.89 gems 0.16x 2026-11-10 02:17 UTC [XM1014 | Blaze Orange (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-factory-new) Hidden $52.41 80.63 gems $61.13 94.05 gems 1.17x 2026-11-10 02:17 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) Hidden $52.41 80.63 gems $8.38 12.89 gems 0.16x 2026-11-10 02:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $52.41 | 89.99% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 10.0% Classified 15.0% mil spec 40.0% covert 5.0% restricted 5.0% industrial 5.0% Industrial Grade 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt