--- title: "Containment Zone case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Containment Zone ($6.19) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.92% from 12 items with odds, observed 87.14% over 8,772 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/containment-zone rendered: 2026-11-11T15:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Containment Zone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/containment-zone) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Containment Zone A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/containment-zone?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/containment-zone?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/containment-zone) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/containment-zone?window=all) Price · $6.19 · 9.52 gems Advertised RTP · 89.92% · EV $5.56 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.14% · 8,772 openings, odds method Variance · 27.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 71 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.64% ±21.31 2,338 openings 7 days · 88.19% ±11.55 7,967 openings 30 days · 87.14% ±11.00 8,772 openings since tracking started · 87.14% ±11.00 8,772 openings 66.5% 88.5% 110.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/containment-zone?window=24h) | 2,338 | 88.64% ±21.3 | −0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/containment-zone?window=7d) | 7,967 | 88.19% ±11.5 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/containment-zone) | 8,772 | 87.14% ±11.0 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/containment-zone?window=all) | 8,772 | 87.14% ±11.0 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,832 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $713 1,097 gems | 6.4% | 2 | 4.4 | 0.45× | | [Bulldozer (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulldozer-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $507 780 gems | 9.1% | 7 | 8.8 | 0.79× | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $324 499 gems | 14.6% | 25 | 22.1 | 1.13× | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $253 390 gems | 11.4% | 28 | 22.1 | 1.27× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 133 | $110 169 gems | 14.8% | 60 | 66.2 | 0.91× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $44.88 69.04 gems | 24.2% | 247 | 265.0 | 0.93× | | [MAC-10 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $6.30 9.69 gems | 7.9% | 602 | 618.2 | 0.97× | | [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.24 3.44 gems | 4.0% | 912 | 883.2 | 1.03× | | [Negev \| Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.48 2.27 gems | 2.7% | 926 | 883.2 | 1.05× | | [AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.27 1.96 gems | 4.6% | 1,763 | 1766.4 | 1.00× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Dead Now graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-dead-now) | 20.0% | $0.08 0.13 gems | 0.3% | 1,746 | 1766.4 | 0.99× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Tombstone graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-tombstone) | 28.6% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.0% | 2,514 | 2526.0 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $713 1,097 gems 115.2x 2026-11-09 04:25 UTC [Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $713 1,097 gems 115.2x 2026-11-06 21:44 UTC [Bulldozer (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $507 780 gems 81.93x 2026-11-10 21:28 UTC [Bulldozer (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $507 780 gems 81.93x 2026-11-10 20:13 UTC [Bulldozer (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $507 780 gems 81.93x 2026-11-10 17:09 UTC [Bulldozer (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $507 780 gems 81.93x 2026-11-09 18:08 UTC [Bulldozer (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $507 780 gems 81.93x 2026-11-09 10:42 UTC [Bulldozer (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $507 780 gems 81.93x 2026-11-07 01:29 UTC [Bulldozer (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $507 780 gems 81.93x 2026-11-05 22:28 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $324 499 gems 52.42x 2026-11-11 03:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=containment-zone) [Sealed Graffiti | Dead Now graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-dead-now) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Tombstone graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-tombstone) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Dead Now graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-dead-now) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC [AUG | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $1.27 1.96 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Dead Now graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-dead-now) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Tombstone graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-tombstone) [vaiska](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/vaiska) $6.19 9.52 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC [MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $6.30 9.69 gems 1.02x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Tombstone graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-tombstone) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Dead Now graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-dead-now) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Dead Now graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-dead-now) Hidden $6.19 9.52 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $6.19 | 89.92% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #4B69FF 0.1% other 48.7% restricted 10.5% extraordinary 0.8% covert 3.0% mil spec 7.0% industrial 30.0% best hit $713 (115.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.92 on average: an expected loss of $10.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt