--- title: "Continental Clash case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Continental Clash ($225.78) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 77.05% over 1,117 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/continental-clash rendered: 2026-11-11T21:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Continental Clash](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/continental-clash) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Continental Clash A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/continental-clash?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/continental-clash?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/continental-clash) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/continental-clash?window=all) Price · $225.78 · 347 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $203.20 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 77.05% · 1,117 openings, odds method Variance · 32.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 96.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 72 openings · below min 7 days · 74.16% ±39.73 792 openings 30 days · 77.05% ±33.45 1,117 openings since tracking started · 77.05% ±33.45 1,117 openings -0.5% 92.3% 185.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/continental-clash?window=24h) | 72 | 52.62% ±131.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/continental-clash?window=7d) | 792 | 74.16% ±39.7 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/continental-clash) | 1,117 | 77.05% ±33.5 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/continental-clash?window=all) | 1,117 | 77.05% ±33.5 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,185 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $13.3K 20,484 gems | 32.8% | 4 | 5.9 | 0.68× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $9,107 14,011 gems | 22.4% | 7 | 5.9 | 1.18× | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $7,669 11,799 gems | 18.9% | 5 | 5.9 | 0.84× | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $4,151 6,386 gems | 10.2% | 4 | 5.9 | 0.68× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,605 2,469 gems | 3.9% | 7 | 5.9 | 1.18× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $909 1,399 gems | 2.2% | 6 | 5.9 | 1.01× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 100 | $335 515 gems | 1.6% | 12 | 11.8 | 1.01× | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $148 227 gems | 0.7% | 9 | 11.8 | 0.76× | | [P250 \| Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-battle-scarred) | 31.0% | $24.02 36.95 gems | 3.7% | 384 | 367.4 | 1.05× | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-battle-scarred) | 32.0% | $21.27 32.72 gems | 3.3% | 366 | 379.2 | 0.97× | | [Tec-9 \| Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-battle-scarred) | 32.0% | $1.09 1.67 gems | 0.2% | 381 | 379.2 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $226 347 gems $13.3K 20,484 gems 58.97x 2026-11-06 22:00 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $226 347 gems $13.3K 20,484 gems 58.97x 2026-11-04 19:39 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $226 347 gems $13.3K 20,484 gems 58.97x 2026-11-03 03:11 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $226 347 gems $13.3K 20,484 gems 58.97x 2026-11-02 23:41 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $226 347 gems $9,107 14,011 gems 40.34x 2026-11-09 13:27 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $226 347 gems $9,107 14,011 gems 40.34x 2026-11-07 01:47 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $226 347 gems $9,107 14,011 gems 40.34x 2026-11-05 13:43 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $226 347 gems $9,107 14,011 gems 40.34x 2026-11-05 00:50 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $226 347 gems $9,107 14,011 gems 40.34x 2026-11-04 23:57 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $226 347 gems $9,107 14,011 gems 40.34x 2026-11-04 22:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=continental-clash) [Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-battle-scarred) Hidden $226 347 gems $1.09 1.67 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [P250 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-battle-scarred) Hidden $226 347 gems $24.02 36.95 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [P250 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-battle-scarred) Hidden $226 347 gems $24.02 36.95 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-battle-scarred) Hidden $226 347 gems $1.09 1.67 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [P250 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-battle-scarred) Hidden $226 347 gems $24.02 36.95 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-battle-scarred) [Live kick/vaultycs](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Live%20kick%2Fvaultycs) $226 347 gems $1.09 1.67 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-battle-scarred) Hidden $226 347 gems $1.09 1.67 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC [USP-S | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-battle-scarred) Hidden $226 347 gems $21.27 32.72 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC [USP-S | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-battle-scarred) Hidden $226 347 gems $21.27 32.72 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC [Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-battle-scarred) Hidden $226 347 gems $1.09 1.67 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $226 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 1.5% covert 0.5% legendary 1.0% red 1.0% classified 33.0% milspec 31.0% uncommon 32.0% best hit $13.3K (58.97x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt