--- title: "Copium Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Copium Case ($22.58) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 7 items with odds, observed 39.90% over 2,466 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/copium-case rendered: 2026-11-11T15:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Copium Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/copium-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Copium Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/copium-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/copium-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/copium-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/copium-case?window=all) Price · $22.58 · 34.74 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $20.32 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 39.90% · 2,466 openings, odds method Variance · 3840.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 10,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 270 openings · below min 7 days · 1,990 openings · below min 30 days · 2,466 openings · below min since tracking started · 2,466 openings · below min -0.5% 379.0% 758.5% **Small sample.** 2,466 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/copium-case?window=24h) | 270 | 18.69% ±739.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/copium-case?window=7d) | 1,990 | 21.20% ±272.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/copium-case) | 2,466 | 39.90% ±244.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/copium-case?window=all) | 2,466 | 39.90% ±244.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,500 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $139K 214,054 gems | 68.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $10.6K 16,244 gems | 10.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sand-dune-factory-new) | 1 in 93 | $215 331 gems | 11.3% | 32 | 26.8 | 1.20× | | [SSG 08 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $70.86 109 gems | 6.6% | 47 | 47.5 | 0.99× | | [MAG-7 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sand-dune-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $27.01 41.55 gems | 2.7% | 44 | 50.0 | 0.88× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) | 45.0% | $0.23 0.36 gems | 0.5% | 1,107 | 1125.0 | 0.98× | | [Nova \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) | 50.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.0% | 1,269 | 1250.0 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $22.58 34.74 gems $10.6K 16,244 gems 467.6x 2026-11-03 17:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=copium-case) [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $22.58 34.74 gems $0.23 0.36 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $22.58 34.74 gems $0.23 0.36 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $22.58 34.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $22.58 34.74 gems $0.23 0.36 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $22.58 34.74 gems $0.23 0.36 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) [TwitchBaleszko](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TwitchBaleszko) $22.58 34.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $22.58 34.74 gems $0.23 0.36 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $22.58 34.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $22.58 34.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $22.58 34.74 gems $0.23 0.36 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $22.58 | 89.99% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% legendary 0.0% industrial 1.1% consumer 98.9% best hit $10.6K (467.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt