--- title: "Cops and Robbers case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cops and Robbers ($19.44) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 98.70% over 927 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cops-and-robbers rendered: 2026-11-12T03:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Cops and Robbers](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cops-and-robbers) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Cops and Robbers A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cops-and-robbers?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cops-and-robbers?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cops-and-robbers) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cops-and-robbers?window=all) Price · $19.44 · 29.9 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $17.49 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.70% · 927 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 35.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 79 openings · below min 7 days · 98.97% ±10.55 704 openings 30 days · 98.70% ±9.20 927 openings since tracking started · 98.70% ±9.20 927 openings 78.0% 110.0% 142.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cops-and-robbers?window=24h) | 79 | 110.06% ±31.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cops-and-robbers?window=7d) | 704 | 98.97% ±10.6 | +1.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cops-and-robbers) | 927 | 98.70% ±9.20 | +1.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cops-and-robbers?window=all) | 927 | 98.70% ±9.20 | +1.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,021 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $193 296 gems | 22.0% | 28 | 20.4 | 1.37× | | [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) | 13.0% | $33.38 51.36 gems | 24.8% | 122 | 132.7 | 0.92× | | [Sawed-Off \| Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-factory-new) | 20.0% | $27.61 42.47 gems | 31.6% | 227 | 204.2 | 1.11× | | [SSG 08 \| Orange Filigree (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-orange-filigree-factory-new) | 15.0% | $13.62 20.95 gems | 11.7% | 148 | 153.1 | 0.97× | | [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 15.0% | $5.77 8.87 gems | 4.9% | 144 | 153.1 | 0.94× | | [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) | 15.0% | $5.61 8.63 gems | 4.8% | 147 | 153.1 | 0.96× | | [G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.15 0.23 gems | 0.2% | 205 | 204.2 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=cops-and-robbers) [SSG 08 | Orange Filigree (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-orange-filigree-factory-new) Hidden $19.44 29.9 gems $13.62 20.95 gems 0.70x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $19.44 29.9 gems $27.61 42.47 gems 1.42x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $19.44 29.9 gems $33.38 51.36 gems 1.72x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $19.44 29.9 gems $33.38 51.36 gems 1.72x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $19.44 29.9 gems $5.77 8.87 gems 0.30x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-factory-new) [Wise Axolotl](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Wise%20Axolotl) $19.44 29.9 gems $27.61 42.47 gems 1.42x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) Hidden $19.44 29.9 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:25 UTC [Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $19.44 29.9 gems $33.38 51.36 gems 1.72x 2026-11-11 20:25 UTC [Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $19.44 29.9 gems $27.61 42.47 gems 1.42x 2026-11-11 20:25 UTC [Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $19.44 29.9 gems $27.61 42.47 gems 1.42x 2026-11-11 20:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $19.44 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 2.0% violet 13.0% restricted 35.0% Mil Spec Grade 15.0% Mythical 15.0% mil spec 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt