---
title: "Crashout Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Crashout Case ($47.83) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 74.06% over 263 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crashout-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:01Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Crashout Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crashout-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Crashout Case

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crashout-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crashout-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crashout-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crashout-case?window=all)

Price · $47.83 · 73.59 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $43.05 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 74.06% · 263 openings, odds method

Variance · 12.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 24 openings · below min

7 days · 78.21% ±46.78 221 openings

30 days · 74.06% ±42.89 263 openings

since tracking started · 74.06% ±42.89 263 openings

-0.5% 111.5% 223.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crashout-case?window=24h) | 24 | 80.85% ±142.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crashout-case?window=7d) | 221 | 78.21% ±46.8 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crashout-case) | 263 | 74.06% ±42.9 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crashout-case?window=all) | 263 | 74.06% ±42.9 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 263 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $3,250 5,000 gems | 18.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Souvenir USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $520 800 gems | 9.1% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.52× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $261 402 gems | 6.1% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $218 335 gems | 5.1% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $151 233 gems | 3.5% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.52× |
| [SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $92.95 143 gems | 2.2% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.38× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-factory-new) | 10.0% | $50.77 78.11 gems | 11.8% | 25 | 26.3 | 0.95× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Battle-Scarred) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $42.48 65.36 gems | 9.9% | 29 | 26.3 | 1.10× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-factory-new) | 20.0% | $31.28 48.13 gems | 14.5% | 50 | 52.6 | 0.95× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) | 55.0% | $14.92 22.96 gems | 19.1% | 148 | 144.7 | 1.02× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Souvenir USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) Hidden $47.83 73.59 gems $520 800 gems 10.87x 2026-11-10 07:47 UTC

[Souvenir USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) Hidden $47.83 73.59 gems $520 800 gems 10.87x 2026-11-09 00:22 UTC

[Souvenir USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) Hidden $47.83 73.59 gems $520 800 gems 10.87x 2026-11-05 04:11 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=crashout-case)

[R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $47.83 73.59 gems $14.92 22.96 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) Hidden $47.83 73.59 gems $151 233 gems 3.17x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Battle-Scarred) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-battle-scarred) Hidden $47.83 73.59 gems $42.48 65.36 gems 0.89x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-factory-new) Hidden $47.83 73.59 gems $31.28 48.13 gems 0.65x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $47.83 73.59 gems $14.92 22.96 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-factory-new) [Shadow](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Shadow) $47.83 73.59 gems $50.77 78.11 gems 1.06x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $47.83 73.59 gems $14.92 22.96 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $47.83 73.59 gems $14.92 22.96 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $47.83 73.59 gems $14.92 22.96 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $47.83 73.59 gems $14.92 22.96 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $47.83 | 90.00% | 10 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 1.0% covert 3.0% Classified 1.0% Immortal 10.0% sunny 10.0% mil spec 20.0% classified 55.0% best hit $520 (10.87x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt