--- title: "CRAYOLA 1,5% case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "CRAYOLA 1,5% ($162.50) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 194.05% over 45 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crayola-1-5percent rendered: 2026-11-12T13:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [CRAYOLA 1,5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crayola-1-5percent) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · CRAYOLA 1,5% A case on Clash.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crayola-1-5percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crayola-1-5percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crayola-1-5percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crayola-1-5percent?window=all) Price · $162.50 · 250 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 194.05% · 45 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 9 openings · below min 7 days · 45 openings · below min 30 days · 45 openings · below min since tracking started · 45 openings · below min -0.5% 287.0% 574.5% **Small sample.** 45 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crayola-1-5percent?window=24h) | 9 | 0.28% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crayola-1-5percent?window=7d) | 45 | 194.05% ±379.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crayola-1-5percent) | 45 | 194.05% ±379.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crayola-1-5percent?window=all) | 45 | 194.05% ±379.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) [Mischievous Ifrit](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mischievous%20Ifrit) $163 250 gems $14.2K 21,800 gems 87.20x 2026-11-06 19:12 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=crayola-1-5percent) [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $163 250 gems $0.45 0.69 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $163 250 gems $0.45 0.69 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) [Sanemi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sanemi) $163 250 gems $0.45 0.69 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $163 250 gems $0.45 0.69 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $163 250 gems $0.45 0.69 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) [Sanemi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sanemi) $163 250 gems $0.45 0.69 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $163 250 gems $0.45 0.69 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $163 250 gems $0.45 0.69 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) [Sanemi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sanemi) $163 250 gems $0.45 0.69 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $163 250 gems $0.45 0.69 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 05:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $14.2K (87.20x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 194.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $194.05 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt