--- title: "Crime Scene case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Crime Scene ($5.21) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.89% from 10 items with odds, observed 86.60% over 4,380 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crime-scene rendered: 2026-11-11T17:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Crime Scene](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crime-scene) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Crime Scene A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crime-scene?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crime-scene?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crime-scene) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crime-scene?window=all) Price · $5.21 · 8.02 gems Advertised RTP · 89.89% · EV $4.69 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.60% · 4,380 openings, odds method Variance · 7.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 81.24% ±22.99 525 openings 7 days · 87.89% ±8.51 3,829 openings 30 days · 86.60% ±7.96 4,380 openings since tracking started · 86.60% ±7.96 4,380 openings 57.5% 81.3% 105.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crime-scene?window=24h) | 525 | 81.24% ±23.0 | −0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crime-scene?window=7d) | 3,829 | 87.89% ±8.51 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crime-scene) | 4,380 | 86.60% ±7.96 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crime-scene?window=all) | 4,380 | 86.60% ±7.96 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,469 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $122 188 gems | 26.1% | 39 | 44.7 | 0.87× | | [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $64.43 99.13 gems | 13.7% | 46 | 44.7 | 1.03× | | [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $38.64 59.45 gems | 8.2% | 45 | 44.7 | 1.01× | | [FAMAS \| Meltdown (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meltdown-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $19.84 30.53 gems | 4.2% | 36 | 44.7 | 0.81× | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $7.42 11.42 gems | 1.6% | 48 | 44.7 | 1.07× | | [MAG-7 \| Hazard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hazard-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $4.86 7.48 gems | 15.6% | 651 | 670.3 | 0.97× | | [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-well-worn) | 20.0% | $3.59 5.53 gems | 15.3% | 869 | 893.8 | 0.97× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Syndicate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-syndicate-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $2.16 3.32 gems | 9.2% | 926 | 893.8 | 1.04× | | [M249 \| Impact Drill (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-impact-drill-well-worn) | 20.0% | $1.08 1.66 gems | 4.6% | 912 | 893.8 | 1.02× | | [G3SG1 \| Stinger (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-stinger-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.31 0.48 gems | 1.3% | 897 | 893.8 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=crime-scene) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-well-worn) Hidden $5.21 8.02 gems $7.42 11.42 gems 1.42x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC [SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-well-worn) Hidden $5.21 8.02 gems $3.59 5.53 gems 0.69x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC [M249 | Impact Drill (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-impact-drill-well-worn) Hidden $5.21 8.02 gems $1.08 1.66 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC [SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-well-worn) Hidden $5.21 8.02 gems $3.59 5.53 gems 0.69x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC [MAG-7 | Hazard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hazard-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.21 8.02 gems $4.86 7.48 gems 0.93x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC [G3SG1 | Stinger (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-stinger-minimal-wear) [para pupus :)](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/para%20pupus%20%3A%29) $5.21 8.02 gems $0.31 0.48 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-field-tested) Hidden $5.21 8.02 gems $122 188 gems 23.49x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-well-worn) Hidden $5.21 8.02 gems $3.59 5.53 gems 0.69x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [G3SG1 | Stinger (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-stinger-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.21 8.02 gems $0.31 0.48 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [G3SG1 | Stinger (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-stinger-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.21 8.02 gems $0.31 0.48 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $5.21 | 89.89% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 1.0% mil spec 1.0% restricted 21.0% classified 21.0% red 1.0% Mil Spec Grade 15.0% Consumer Grade 20.0% violet 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.89 on average: an expected loss of $10.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt