--- title: "Crown Reserve case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Crown Reserve ($20.89) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 10 items with odds, observed 85.21% over 1,062 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crown-reserve rendered: 2026-11-11T18:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Crown Reserve](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crown-reserve) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Crown Reserve A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crown-reserve?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crown-reserve?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crown-reserve) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crown-reserve?window=all) Price · $20.89 · 32.14 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $18.80 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.21% · 1,062 openings, odds method Variance · 4.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 81.13% ±29.52 200 openings 7 days · 84.34% ±13.71 927 openings 30 days · 85.21% ±12.81 1,062 openings since tracking started · 85.21% ±12.81 1,062 openings 51.0% 81.3% 111.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crown-reserve?window=24h) | 200 | 81.13% ±29.5 | −0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crown-reserve?window=7d) | 927 | 84.34% ±13.7 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crown-reserve) | 1,062 | 85.21% ±12.8 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crown-reserve?window=all) | 1,062 | 85.21% ±12.8 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,065 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 40 | $260 400 gems | 34.6% | 23 | 26.6 | 0.86× | | [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $129 199 gems | 17.2% | 26 | 26.6 | 0.98× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $46.80 72 gems | 6.2% | 28 | 26.6 | 1.05× | | [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $36.87 56.73 gems | 4.9% | 29 | 26.6 | 1.09× | | [P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scarab-rush-factory-new) | 10.0% | $28.38 43.66 gems | 15.1% | 108 | 106.5 | 1.01× | | [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $20.92 32.19 gems | 11.1% | 97 | 106.5 | 0.91× | | [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-factory-new) | 10.0% | $10.19 15.68 gems | 5.4% | 101 | 106.5 | 0.95× | | [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $3.43 5.28 gems | 2.7% | 163 | 159.8 | 1.02× | | [P2000 \| Royal Baroque (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.44 2.22 gems | 1.2% | 154 | 159.8 | 0.96× | | [P250 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.98 1.5 gems | 1.6% | 336 | 319.5 | 1.05× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=crown-reserve) [Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $129 199 gems 6.19x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC [P250 | Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC [P250 | Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC [P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-factory-new) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $1.44 2.22 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC [P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-factory-new) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $1.44 2.22 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC [Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-minimal-wear) [VYCK4](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/VYCK4) $20.89 32.14 gems $3.43 5.28 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC [M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $20.92 32.19 gems 1.00x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC [P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-factory-new) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $1.44 2.22 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC [P250 | Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC [M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-minimal-wear) [Pejchyn](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pejchyn) $20.89 32.14 gems $20.92 32.19 gems 1.00x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $20.89 | 89.98% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed exotic 2.5% covert 5.0% #8847ff 2.5% violet 10.0% classified 10.0% restricted 25.0% uncommon 15.0% Legendary 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt