---
title: "Crusader case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Crusader ($797.63) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crusader
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Crusader](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crusader)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Crusader

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crusader?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crusader?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crusader) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crusader?window=all)

Price · $797.63 · 1,227 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $717.87 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crusader?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crusader?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crusader) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crusader?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1,814 2,790 gems | 50.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1,686 2,594 gems | 47.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 10.0% | $78.86 121 gems | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 10.0% | $68.67 106 gems | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 10.0% | $26.21 40.32 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M249 \| Nebula Crusader (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.60 4 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.41 3.71 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Heaven Guard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.27 0.41 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=crusader)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $798 | 90.00% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 40.0% classified 30.0% restricted 20.0% mil spec 10.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt