--- title: "Crypto case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Crypto ($67.94) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 86.66% over 266 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crypto rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Crypto](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crypto) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Crypto A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crypto?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crypto?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crypto) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crypto?window=all) Price · $67.94 · 105 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $61.15 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.66% · 266 openings, odds method Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 87.40% ±10.16 256 openings 30 days · 86.66% ±9.97 266 openings since tracking started · 86.66% ±9.97 266 openings 30.5% 69.5% 108.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crypto?window=24h) | 18 | 69.30% ±38.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crypto?window=7d) | 256 | 87.40% ±10.2 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crypto) | 266 | 86.66% ±9.97 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crypto?window=all) | 266 | 86.66% ±9.97 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 268 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) | 10.0% | $207 318 gems | 33.8% | 23 | 26.8 | 0.86× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 10.0% | $103 158 gems | 16.8% | 28 | 26.8 | 1.04× | | [SG 553 \| Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) | 10.0% | $90.04 139 gems | 14.7% | 26 | 26.8 | 0.97× | | [AK-47 \| First Class (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-factory-new) | 10.0% | $61.31 94.32 gems | 10.0% | 28 | 26.8 | 1.04× | | [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) | 15.0% | $31.80 48.93 gems | 7.8% | 45 | 40.2 | 1.12× | | [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) | 15.0% | $27.94 42.98 gems | 6.9% | 26 | 40.2 | 0.65× | | [MAG-7 \| Prism Terrace (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-factory-new) | 15.0% | $22.43 34.51 gems | 5.5% | 42 | 40.2 | 1.04× | | [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 15.0% | $18.28 28.13 gems | 4.5% | 50 | 40.2 | 1.24× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=crypto) [M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) Hidden $67.94 105 gems $27.94 42.98 gems 0.41x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) Hidden $67.94 105 gems $31.80 48.93 gems 0.47x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [MAG-7 | Prism Terrace (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-factory-new) Hidden $67.94 105 gems $22.43 34.51 gems 0.33x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $67.94 105 gems $103 158 gems 1.51x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $67.94 105 gems $18.28 28.13 gems 0.27x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $67.94 105 gems $103 158 gems 1.51x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) Hidden $67.94 105 gems $27.94 42.98 gems 0.41x 2026-11-11 03:13 UTC [SG 553 | Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) Hidden $67.94 105 gems $90.04 139 gems 1.33x 2026-11-11 03:13 UTC [UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) Hidden $67.94 105 gems $31.80 48.93 gems 0.47x 2026-11-11 03:13 UTC [SG 553 | Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) Hidden $67.94 105 gems $90.04 139 gems 1.33x 2026-11-11 03:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $67.94 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 20.0% classified 40.0% restricted 25.0% pink 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt