--- title: "CT Pack case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "CT Pack ($2.91) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 90.50% over 3,077 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ct-pack rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [CT Pack](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ct-pack) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · CT Pack A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ct-pack?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ct-pack?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ct-pack) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ct-pack?window=all) Price · $2.91 · 4.48 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $2.62 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.50% · 3,077 openings, odds method Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 68.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.74% ±14.76 390 openings 7 days · 91.52% ±5.54 2,771 openings 30 days · 90.50% ±5.25 3,077 openings since tracking started · 90.50% ±5.25 3,077 openings 70.5% 85.8% 101.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ct-pack?window=24h) | 390 | 85.74% ±14.8 | −0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ct-pack?window=7d) | 2,771 | 91.52% ±5.54 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ct-pack) | 3,077 | 90.50% ±5.25 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ct-pack?window=all) | 3,077 | 90.50% ±5.25 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,102 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Primeiro Tenente \| Brazilian 1st Battalion agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/primeiro-tenente-brazilian-1st-battalion) | 1 in 100 | $21.48 33.04 gems | 8.2% | 30 | 31.0 | 0.97× | | [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $21.35 32.84 gems | 8.1% | 31 | 31.0 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $19.01 29.24 gems | 7.3% | 35 | 31.0 | 1.13× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $18.55 28.54 gems | 7.1% | 21 | 31.0 | 0.68× | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $9.19 14.14 gems | 10.5% | 97 | 93.1 | 1.04× | | [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8.40 12.93 gems | 16.0% | 166 | 155.1 | 1.07× | | [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-well-worn) | 10.0% | $4.43 6.82 gems | 16.9% | 299 | 310.2 | 0.96× | | [MP9 \| Hydra (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $3.35 5.15 gems | 12.8% | 328 | 310.2 | 1.06× | | [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.94 1.44 gems | 8.9% | 797 | 775.5 | 1.03× | | [MAG-7 \| Heat (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-well-worn) | 43.0% | $0.25 0.39 gems | 4.2% | 1,298 | 1333.9 | 0.97× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=ct-pack) [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) Hidden $2.91 4.48 gems $0.94 1.44 gems 0.32x 2026-11-11 12:17 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-well-worn) Hidden $2.91 4.48 gems $4.43 6.82 gems 1.52x 2026-11-11 12:17 UTC [MAG-7 | Heat (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-well-worn) Hidden $2.91 4.48 gems $0.25 0.39 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 12:17 UTC [MAG-7 | Heat (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-well-worn) Hidden $2.91 4.48 gems $0.25 0.39 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 12:17 UTC [P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.91 4.48 gems $9.19 14.14 gems 3.16x 2026-11-11 12:17 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-neo-noir-factory-new) [TTHD](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TTHD) $2.91 4.48 gems $19.01 29.24 gems 6.53x 2026-11-11 12:17 UTC [Primeiro Tenente | Brazilian 1st Battalion agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/primeiro-tenente-brazilian-1st-battalion) Hidden $2.91 4.48 gems $21.48 33.04 gems 7.37x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC [P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.91 4.48 gems $9.19 14.14 gems 3.16x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-well-worn) Hidden $2.91 4.48 gems $4.43 6.82 gems 1.52x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) Hidden $2.91 4.48 gems $0.94 1.44 gems 0.32x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $2.91 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed distinguished 1.0% classified 12.0% rare 1.0% covert 8.0% restricted 10.0% Restricted 25.0% violet 43.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt