--- title: "Cyber Oni case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cyber Oni ($20.09) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 8 items with odds, observed 90.08% over 1,772 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyber-oni rendered: 2026-11-11T23:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Cyber Oni](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyber-oni) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Cyber Oni A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyber-oni?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyber-oni?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyber-oni) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyber-oni?window=all) Price · $20.09 · 30.9 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $18.07 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.08% · 1,772 openings, odds method Variance · 5.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 173.68% ±42.63 123 openings 7 days · 93.16% ±12.85 1,353 openings 30 days · 90.08% ±11.23 1,772 openings since tracking started · 90.08% ±11.23 1,772 openings 78.0% 147.5% 217.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyber-oni?window=24h) | 123 | 173.68% ±42.6 | +3.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyber-oni?window=7d) | 1,353 | 93.16% ±12.9 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyber-oni) | 1,772 | 90.08% ±11.2 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyber-oni?window=all) | 1,772 | 90.08% ±11.2 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,874 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $300 462 gems | 41.5% | 47 | 46.9 | 1.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $78.65 121 gems | 10.9% | 42 | 46.9 | 0.90× | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $56.94 87.6 gems | 15.8% | 95 | 93.7 | 1.01× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $36.34 55.9 gems | 10.1% | 98 | 93.7 | 1.05× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $21.87 33.65 gems | 6.1% | 90 | 93.7 | 0.96× | | [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $10.13 15.58 gems | 2.8% | 85 | 93.7 | 0.91× | | [Tec-9 \| Bamboo Forest (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboo-forest-minimal-wear) | 35.0% | $4.21 6.47 gems | 8.1% | 659 | 655.9 | 1.00× | | [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-factory-new) | 40.0% | $2.16 3.32 gems | 4.8% | 758 | 749.6 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=cyber-oni) [MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-factory-new) Hidden $20.09 30.9 gems $2.16 3.32 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-factory-new) Hidden $20.09 30.9 gems $2.16 3.32 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $20.09 30.9 gems $56.94 87.6 gems 2.83x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.09 30.9 gems $36.34 55.9 gems 1.81x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [Tec-9 | Bamboo Forest (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboo-forest-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.09 30.9 gems $4.21 6.47 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $20.09 30.9 gems $21.87 33.65 gems 1.09x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-factory-new) Hidden $20.09 30.9 gems $2.16 3.32 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 23:22 UTC [MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-factory-new) Hidden $20.09 30.9 gems $2.16 3.32 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 23:22 UTC [Tec-9 | Bamboo Forest (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboo-forest-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.09 30.9 gems $4.21 6.47 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 23:22 UTC [Tec-9 | Bamboo Forest (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboo-forest-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.09 30.9 gems $4.21 6.47 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 23:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $20.09 | 89.98% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 12.5% epic 2.5% classified 5.0% rare 5.0% consumer 35.0% violet 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt