--- title: "Cyclops case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cyclops ($217.59) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 68.44% over 338 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyclops rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Cyclops](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyclops) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Cyclops A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyclops?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyclops?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyclops) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyclops?window=all) Price · $217.59 · 335 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $195.83 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 68.44% · 338 openings, odds method Variance · 10.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 29 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 42 openings · below min 7 days · 71.24% ±39.04 256 openings 30 days · 68.44% ±33.98 338 openings since tracking started · 68.44% ±33.98 338 openings -0.5% 85.5% 171.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyclops?window=24h) | 42 | 74.25% ±96.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyclops?window=7d) | 256 | 71.24% ±39.0 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyclops) | 338 | 68.44% ±34.0 | −1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cyclops?window=all) | 338 | 68.44% ±34.0 | −1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 338 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $7,250 11,153 gems | 18.5% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $3,777 5,811 gems | 19.3% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.89× | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2,327 3,581 gems | 11.9% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.59× | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,625 2,500 gems | 8.3% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.59× | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $1,064 1,637 gems | 8.2% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.59× | | [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $493 759 gems | 6.3% | 9 | 8.4 | 1.07× | | [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $334 514 gems | 12.8% | 18 | 25.3 | 0.71× | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $114 175 gems | 5.8% | 36 | 33.8 | 1.07× | | [AUG \| Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $37.57 57.8 gems | 4.8% | 82 | 84.5 | 0.97× | | [SG 553 \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 25.0% | $20.68 31.81 gems | 2.6% | 97 | 84.5 | 1.15× | | [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 25.0% | $11.97 18.41 gems | 1.5% | 85 | 84.5 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $218 335 gems $7,250 11,153 gems 33.32x 2026-11-07 16:27 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $218 335 gems $3,777 5,811 gems 17.36x 2026-11-10 20:23 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $218 335 gems $3,777 5,811 gems 17.36x 2026-11-09 22:59 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $218 335 gems $3,777 5,811 gems 17.36x 2026-11-04 19:47 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $218 335 gems $2,327 3,581 gems 10.70x 2026-11-07 16:29 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $218 335 gems $2,327 3,581 gems 10.70x 2026-11-04 03:25 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) Hidden $218 335 gems $1,625 2,500 gems 7.47x 2026-11-04 04:32 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) Hidden $218 335 gems $1,625 2,500 gems 7.47x 2026-11-04 00:13 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) [King-Hassany](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/King-Hassany) $218 335 gems $1,064 1,637 gems 4.89x 2026-11-07 16:29 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) [KICK/JUSTSAN666](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/KICK%2FJUSTSAN666) $218 335 gems $1,064 1,637 gems 4.89x 2026-11-06 18:50 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=cyclops) [M4A1-S | Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) Hidden $218 335 gems $114 175 gems 0.52x 2026-11-10 23:19 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $218 335 gems $493 759 gems 2.27x 2026-11-10 23:19 UTC [FAMAS | Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) Hidden $218 335 gems $11.97 18.41 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 23:19 UTC [M4A1-S | Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) Hidden $218 335 gems $114 175 gems 0.52x 2026-11-10 23:19 UTC [AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) Hidden $218 335 gems $37.57 57.8 gems 0.17x 2026-11-10 23:19 UTC [FAMAS | Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) [BOTAIRTXonKICK Refbot,ai 50kLBs](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BOTAIRTXonKICK%20Refbot%2Cai%2050kLBs) $218 335 gems $11.97 18.41 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 23:19 UTC [FAMAS | Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) Hidden $218 335 gems $11.97 18.41 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 20:23 UTC [SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $218 335 gems $20.68 31.81 gems 0.10x 2026-11-10 20:23 UTC [SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $218 335 gems $20.68 31.81 gems 0.10x 2026-11-10 20:23 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $218 335 gems $3,777 5,811 gems 17.36x 2026-11-10 20:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $218 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.5% classified 11.5% #eb4b4b 2.5% mil spec 32.5% Rare 25.0% #d32ee6 25.0% best hit $7,250 (33.32x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt