--- title: "Dance Floor case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Dance Floor ($31.01) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 9 items with odds, observed 81.90% over 5,008 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dance-floor rendered: 2026-11-11T15:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Dance Floor](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dance-floor) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Dance Floor A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dance-floor?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dance-floor?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dance-floor) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dance-floor?window=all) Price · $31.01 · 47.7 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $27.90 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.90% · 5,008 openings, odds method Variance · 25.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 60.62% ±48.07 430 openings 7 days · 81.77% ±15.67 4,044 openings 30 days · 81.90% ±14.08 5,008 openings since tracking started · 81.90% ±14.08 5,008 openings 12.0% 60.7% 109.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dance-floor?window=24h) | 430 | 60.62% ±48.1 | −1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dance-floor?window=7d) | 4,044 | 81.77% ±15.7 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dance-floor) | 5,008 | 81.90% ±14.1 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dance-floor?window=all) | 5,008 | 81.90% ±14.1 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,018 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,323 2,036 gems | 47.4% | 45 | 50.2 | 0.90× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $809 1,245 gems | 29.0% | 42 | 50.2 | 0.84× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $396 610 gems | 14.2% | 52 | 50.2 | 1.04× | | [Music Kit \| Dren, Gunman Taco Truck music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-dren-gunman-taco-truck) | 1 in 14 | $7.37 11.34 gems | 1.8% | 354 | 351.3 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ Music Kit \| Blitz Kids, The Good Youth music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-blitz-kids-the-good-youth) | 1 in 14 | $7.27 11.18 gems | 1.8% | 313 | 351.3 | 0.89× | | [Music Kit \| Knock2, dashstar\* music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-knock2-dashstar) | 17.0% | $5.62 8.64 gems | 3.4% | 891 | 853.1 | 1.04× | | [Music Kit \| The Verkkars, EZ4ENCE music kit · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-the-verkkars-ez4ence) | 17.0% | $1.72 2.64 gems | 1.0% | 851 | 853.1 | 1.00× | | [Music Kit \| bbno$, u mad! music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-bbno-u-mad) | 17.0% | $1.49 2.29 gems | 0.9% | 838 | 853.1 | 0.98× | | [Music Kit \| 3kliksphilip, Heading for the Source music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-3kliksphilip-heading-for-the-source) | 32.0% | $0.27 0.42 gems | 0.3% | 1,632 | 1605.8 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $1,323 2,036 gems 42.68x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $1,323 2,036 gems 42.68x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) [( ͡° ᴥ ͡° )](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%28%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%E1%B4%A5%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%29) $31.01 47.7 gems $1,323 2,036 gems 42.68x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $1,323 2,036 gems 42.68x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) [ciganykerek](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ciganykerek) $31.01 47.7 gems $1,323 2,036 gems 42.68x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $1,323 2,036 gems 42.68x 2026-11-10 13:29 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $1,323 2,036 gems 42.68x 2026-11-10 12:36 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $1,323 2,036 gems 42.68x 2026-11-09 23:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $1,323 2,036 gems 42.68x 2026-11-09 22:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $1,323 2,036 gems 42.68x 2026-11-09 21:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=dance-floor) [Music Kit | Knock2, dashstar\* music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-knock2-dashstar) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $5.62 8.64 gems 0.18x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [Music Kit | 3kliksphilip, Heading for the Source music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-3kliksphilip-heading-for-the-source) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $0.27 0.42 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [Music Kit | 3kliksphilip, Heading for the Source music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-3kliksphilip-heading-for-the-source) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $0.27 0.42 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [Music Kit | 3kliksphilip, Heading for the Source music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-3kliksphilip-heading-for-the-source) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $0.27 0.42 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [Music Kit | 3kliksphilip, Heading for the Source music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-3kliksphilip-heading-for-the-source) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $0.27 0.42 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [Music Kit | bbno$, u mad! music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-bbno-u-mad) [Thomas the termonuclear bomb](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Thomas%20the%20termonuclear%20bomb) $31.01 47.7 gems $1.49 2.29 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [Music Kit | 3kliksphilip, Heading for the Source music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-3kliksphilip-heading-for-the-source) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $0.27 0.42 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [Music Kit | Knock2, dashstar\* music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-knock2-dashstar) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $5.62 8.64 gems 0.18x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [Music Kit | 3kliksphilip, Heading for the Source music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-3kliksphilip-heading-for-the-source) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $0.27 0.42 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [Music Kit | 3kliksphilip, Heading for the Source music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-3kliksphilip-heading-for-the-source) Hidden $31.01 47.7 gems $0.27 0.42 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $31.01 | 89.98% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 2.0% other 1.0% High Grade 31.0% blue 17.0% high 49.0% best hit $1,323 (42.68x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt