--- title: "Dante case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dante ($87.69) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 74.98% over 489 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dante rendered: 2026-11-11T14:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Dante](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dante) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Dante A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dante?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dante?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dante) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dante?window=all) Price · $87.69 · 135 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $78.91 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 74.98% · 489 openings, odds method Variance · 19.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 70.84% ±75.03 134 openings 7 days · 78.43% ±40.90 451 openings 30 days · 74.98% ±39.28 489 openings since tracking started · 74.98% ±39.28 489 openings -0.5% 73.0% 146.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dante?window=24h) | 134 | 70.84% ±75.0 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dante?window=7d) | 451 | 78.43% ±40.9 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dante) | 489 | 74.98% ±39.3 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dante?window=all) | 489 | 74.98% ±39.3 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 489 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $8,095 12,454 gems | 20.5% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Negev \| Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $1,398 2,150 gems | 14.2% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.28× | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $521 801 gems | 13.2% | 10 | 9.8 | 1.02× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $332 511 gems | 8.4% | 6 | 9.8 | 0.61× | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $162 248 gems | 10.2% | 27 | 24.4 | 1.10× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $81.70 126 gems | 15.5% | 83 | 73.3 | 1.13× | | [MAC-10 \| Red Filigree (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-red-filigree-factory-new) | 15.0% | $56.76 87.32 gems | 10.8% | 71 | 73.3 | 0.97× | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $25.77 39.64 gems | 4.9% | 76 | 73.3 | 1.04× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $7.02 10.8 gems | 1.3% | 70 | 73.3 | 0.95× | | [Sticker \| Incineration (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-incineration-holo) | 30.0% | $2.42 3.72 gems | 0.9% | 141 | 146.7 | 0.96× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $1,398 2,150 gems 15.94x 2026-11-11 03:39 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $1,398 2,150 gems 15.94x 2026-11-09 23:28 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $1,398 2,150 gems 15.94x 2026-11-09 21:11 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $1,398 2,150 gems 15.94x 2026-11-06 21:35 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $1,398 2,150 gems 15.94x 2026-11-05 04:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Dingus](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dingus) $87.69 135 gems $521 801 gems 5.94x 2026-11-11 03:48 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $521 801 gems 5.94x 2026-11-11 03:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $521 801 gems 5.94x 2026-11-11 03:39 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $521 801 gems 5.94x 2026-11-09 23:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Dingus](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dingus) $87.69 135 gems $521 801 gems 5.94x 2026-11-09 14:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=dante) [StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $81.70 126 gems 0.93x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $81.70 126 gems 0.93x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC [MAC-10 | Red Filigree (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-red-filigree-factory-new) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $56.76 87.32 gems 0.65x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC [M4A4 | Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $25.77 39.64 gems 0.29x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC [MAC-10 | Red Filigree (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-red-filigree-factory-new) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $56.76 87.32 gems 0.65x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new) [Energetic Lion](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Energetic%20Lion) $87.69 135 gems $162 248 gems 1.84x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC [Sticker | Incineration (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-incineration-holo) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $2.42 3.72 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:01 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $81.70 126 gems 0.93x 2026-11-11 11:01 UTC [Sticker | Incineration (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-incineration-holo) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $2.42 3.72 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:01 UTC [MAC-10 | Red Filigree (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-red-filigree-factory-new) Hidden $87.69 135 gems $56.76 87.32 gems 0.65x 2026-11-11 11:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $87.69 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 0.2% classified 17.8% covert 2.0% restricted 20.0% Ancient 15.0% red 15.0% remarkable 30.0% best hit $1,398 (15.94x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt