--- title: "DDPAT Collector case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "DDPAT Collector ($17.59) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 14 items with odds, observed 92.73% over 2,352 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ddpat-collector rendered: 2026-11-11T21:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [DDPAT Collector](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ddpat-collector) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · DDPAT Collector A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ddpat-collector?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ddpat-collector?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ddpat-collector) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ddpat-collector?window=all) Price · $17.59 · 27.06 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $15.83 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.73% · 2,352 openings, odds method Variance · 15.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 226 openings · below min 7 days · 85.45% ±17.26 1,951 openings 30 days · 92.73% ±15.72 2,352 openings since tracking started · 92.73% ±15.72 2,352 openings 64.0% 115.5% 167.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ddpat-collector?window=24h) | 226 | 115.40% ±50.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ddpat-collector?window=7d) | 1,951 | 85.45% ±17.3 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ddpat-collector) | 2,352 | 92.73% ±15.7 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ddpat-collector?window=all) | 2,352 | 92.73% ±15.7 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,414 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $780 1,200 gems | 19.7% | 11 | 9.7 | 1.14× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $551 847 gems | 20.9% | 14 | 14.5 | 0.97× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $156 240 gems | 9.9% | 23 | 24.1 | 0.95× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $90.34 139 gems | 11.4% | 47 | 48.3 | 0.97× | | [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $69.54 107 gems | 8.8% | 48 | 48.3 | 0.99× | | [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $63.75 98.08 gems | 8.1% | 44 | 48.3 | 0.91× | | [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $52.00 80 gems | 6.6% | 48 | 48.3 | 0.99× | | [Sawed-Off \| Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $24.71 38.01 gems | 7.8% | 135 | 120.7 | 1.12× | | [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $11.19 17.21 gems | 3.5% | 118 | 120.7 | 0.98× | | [Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $2.37 3.64 gems | 1.5% | 241 | 241.4 | 1.00× | | [M249 \| Jungle DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-jungle-ddpat-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.85 2.85 gems | 1.2% | 244 | 241.4 | 1.01× | | [P90 \| Desert DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-ddpat-well-worn) | 15.0% | $0.40 0.62 gems | 0.4% | 354 | 362.1 | 0.98× | | [MAG-7 \| Metallic DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-metallic-ddpat-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.25 0.39 gems | 0.3% | 464 | 482.8 | 0.96× | | [Zeus x27 \| Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 0.0% | 623 | 603.5 | 1.03× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $780 1,200 gems 44.35x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $780 1,200 gems 44.35x 2026-11-10 19:55 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $780 1,200 gems 44.35x 2026-11-09 20:05 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) [smiffingtable](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/smiffingtable) $17.59 27.06 gems $780 1,200 gems 44.35x 2026-11-07 06:04 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $780 1,200 gems 44.35x 2026-11-07 05:48 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $780 1,200 gems 44.35x 2026-11-07 01:52 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) [asfalttisoturi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/asfalttisoturi) $17.59 27.06 gems $780 1,200 gems 44.35x 2026-11-05 23:37 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $780 1,200 gems 44.35x 2026-11-05 07:19 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $780 1,200 gems 44.35x 2026-11-03 22:43 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $780 1,200 gems 44.35x 2026-11-03 21:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=ddpat-collector) [M249 | Jungle DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-jungle-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $1.85 2.85 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 21:23 UTC [MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-metallic-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $0.25 0.39 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:23 UTC [P90 | Desert DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $0.40 0.62 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:23 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:23 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:23 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) [colin](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/colin) $17.59 27.06 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:23 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC [P90 | Desert DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $0.40 0.62 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC [P90 | Desert DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $17.59 27.06 gems $0.40 0.62 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $17.59 | 90.00% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.4% extraordinary 1.6% rare 2.0% restricted 11.0% mil spec 5.0% Uncommon 10.0% consumer 10.0% Common 40.0% light blue 20.0% best hit $780 (44.35x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt