--- title: "Dead End case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dead End ($41.03) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 9 items with odds, observed 92.88% over 156 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dead-end rendered: 2026-11-11T16:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Dead End](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dead-end) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Dead End A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dead-end?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dead-end?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dead-end) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dead-end?window=all) Price · $41.03 · 63.12 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $36.92 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.88% · 156 openings, odds method Variance · 2.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 30 openings · below min 7 days · 86.86% ±28.06 128 openings 30 days · 92.88% ±25.41 156 openings since tracking started · 92.88% ±25.41 156 openings 34.0% 92.8% 151.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dead-end?window=24h) | 30 | 92.71% ±58.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dead-end?window=7d) | 128 | 86.86% ±28.1 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dead-end) | 156 | 92.88% ±25.4 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dead-end?window=all) | 156 | 92.88% ±25.4 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 185 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-hand-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $397 610 gems | 26.8% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.86× | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-nouveau-rouge-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $158 243 gems | 10.7% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.08× | | [Glock-18 \| Ghost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $94.90 146 gems | 12.9% | 9 | 9.3 | 0.97× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-well-worn) | 10.0% | $64.58 99.36 gems | 17.5% | 21 | 18.5 | 1.14× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) | 10.0% | $45.24 69.6 gems | 12.3% | 21 | 18.5 | 1.14× | | [AWP \| The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) | 10.0% | $31.84 48.99 gems | 8.6% | 18 | 18.5 | 0.97× | | [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-well-worn) | 10.0% | $18.04 27.75 gems | 4.9% | 20 | 18.5 | 1.08× | | [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) | 15.0% | $10.52 16.19 gems | 4.3% | 26 | 27.8 | 0.94× | | [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-factory-new) | 35.0% | $2.19 3.37 gems | 2.1% | 61 | 64.8 | 0.94× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=dead-end) [MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-factory-new) Hidden $41.03 63.12 gems $2.19 3.37 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) Hidden $41.03 63.12 gems $45.24 69.6 gems 1.10x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC [MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-factory-new) Hidden $41.03 63.12 gems $2.19 3.37 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC [M4A4 | Full Throttle (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-well-worn) Hidden $41.03 63.12 gems $18.04 27.75 gems 0.44x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC [M4A4 | Full Throttle (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-well-worn) Hidden $41.03 63.12 gems $18.04 27.75 gems 0.44x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $41.03 63.12 gems $10.52 16.19 gems 0.26x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC [MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-factory-new) Hidden $41.03 63.12 gems $2.19 3.37 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-factory-new) Hidden $41.03 63.12 gems $2.19 3.37 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) Hidden $41.03 63.12 gems $10.52 16.19 gems 0.26x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-nouveau-rouge-factory-new) Hidden $41.03 63.12 gems $158 243 gems 3.85x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $41.03 | 89.99% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 2.5% other 2.5% red 15.0% extraordinary 20.0% Legendary 10.0% classified 15.0% violet 35.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt