--- title: "Deagles Only case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Deagles Only ($22.56) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 94.88% over 972 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deagles-only rendered: 2026-11-11T15:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Deagles Only](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deagles-only) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Deagles Only A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deagles-only?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deagles-only?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deagles-only) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deagles-only?window=all) Price · $22.56 · 34.7 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $20.30 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.88% · 972 openings, odds method Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 48 openings · below min 7 days · 91.24% ±13.14 683 openings 30 days · 94.88% ±11.02 972 openings since tracking started · 94.88% ±11.02 972 openings 4.5% 55.5% 106.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deagles-only?window=24h) | 48 | 54.66% ±49.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deagles-only?window=7d) | 683 | 91.24% ±13.1 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deagles-only) | 972 | 94.88% ±11.0 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deagles-only?window=all) | 972 | 94.88% ±11.0 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 994 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $269 415 gems | 6.6% | 7 | 5.0 | 1.41× | | [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $198 305 gems | 14.7% | 14 | 14.9 | 0.94× | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-minimal-wear-2) | 1 in 33 | $125 193 gems | 18.5% | 42 | 29.8 | 1.41× | | [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $76.25 117 gems | 18.8% | 43 | 49.7 | 0.87× | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 10.0% | $46.68 71.82 gems | 23.0% | 94 | 99.4 | 0.95× | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 10.0% | $17.82 27.41 gems | 8.8% | 89 | 99.4 | 0.90× | | [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $7.96 12.24 gems | 3.9% | 85 | 99.4 | 0.86× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 10.0% | $5.59 8.6 gems | 2.8% | 96 | 99.4 | 0.97× | | [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 25.0% | $2.11 3.24 gems | 2.6% | 258 | 248.5 | 1.04× | | [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.31 0.48 gems | 0.4% | 266 | 248.5 | 1.07× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=deagles-only) [Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) Hidden $22.56 34.7 gems $0.31 0.48 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) Hidden $22.56 34.7 gems $0.31 0.48 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) Hidden $22.56 34.7 gems $0.31 0.48 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $22.56 34.7 gems $5.59 8.6 gems 0.25x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $22.56 34.7 gems $17.82 27.41 gems 0.79x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) [Alboholics](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Alboholics) $22.56 34.7 gems $0.31 0.48 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) Hidden $22.56 34.7 gems $0.31 0.48 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) Hidden $22.56 34.7 gems $0.31 0.48 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) Hidden $22.56 34.7 gems $0.31 0.48 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $22.56 34.7 gems $5.59 8.6 gems 0.25x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $22.56 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 0.5% restricted 34.5% covert 10.0% classified 20.0% industrial 10.0% mil spec 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt