--- title: "Decimal Drop case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Decimal Drop ($33.61) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 55.16% over 4,204 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/decimal-drop rendered: 2026-11-11T15:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Decimal Drop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/decimal-drop) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Decimal Drop A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/decimal-drop?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/decimal-drop?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/decimal-drop) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/decimal-drop?window=all) Price · $33.61 · 51.7 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $30.24 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 55.16% · 4,204 openings, odds method Variance · 348.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 1,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 809 openings · below min 7 days · 3,446 openings · below min 30 days · 4,204 openings · below min since tracking started · 4,204 openings · below min -0.5% 94.0% 188.5% **Small sample.** 4,204 openings and 4.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/decimal-drop?window=24h) | 809 | 59.41% ±128.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/decimal-drop?window=7d) | 3,446 | 50.24% ±62.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/decimal-drop) | 4,204 | 55.16% ±56.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/decimal-drop?window=all) | 4,204 | 55.16% ±56.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,295 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $35.2K 54,082 gems | 23.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $10.7K 16,404 gems | 28.2% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,766 8,870 gems | 19.1% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.93× | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,376 6,732 gems | 14.5% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.93× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Cloud Chaser (Minimal Wear) gloves · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,576 2,425 gems | 5.2% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× | | [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $714 1,098 gems | 2.4% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.47× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Blaze (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $473 727 gems | 1.6% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× | | [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $378 582 gems | 1.3% | 7 | 4.3 | 1.63× | | [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $187 288 gems | 0.6% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.16× | | [P90 \| Deathgaze (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $75.56 116 gems | 0.2% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.47× | | [P250 \| Kintsugi (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $51.06 78.56 gems | 0.2% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× | | [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) | 99.0% | $1.10 1.69 gems | 3.6% | 4,260 | 4252.1 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) [jmL](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/jmL) $33.61 51.7 gems $10.7K 16,404 gems 317.3x 2026-11-06 13:25 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $33.61 51.7 gems $10.7K 16,404 gems 317.3x 2026-11-04 01:46 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $33.61 51.7 gems $5,766 8,870 gems 171.6x 2026-11-10 20:41 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) [Kotix](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kotix) $33.61 51.7 gems $5,766 8,870 gems 171.6x 2026-11-07 22:46 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $33.61 51.7 gems $5,766 8,870 gems 171.6x 2026-11-05 10:29 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $33.61 51.7 gems $5,766 8,870 gems 171.6x 2026-11-04 04:23 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) [kick.com/snupster](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/kick.com%2Fsnupster) $33.61 51.7 gems $4,376 6,732 gems 130.2x 2026-11-10 18:12 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) [mattdavis213](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/mattdavis213) $33.61 51.7 gems $4,376 6,732 gems 130.2x 2026-11-10 18:07 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) [Kotix](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kotix) $33.61 51.7 gems $4,376 6,732 gems 130.2x 2026-11-07 23:46 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) [frashaswad](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/frashaswad) $33.61 51.7 gems $4,376 6,732 gems 130.2x 2026-11-06 09:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=decimal-drop) [MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.61 51.7 gems $1.10 1.69 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.61 51.7 gems $1.10 1.69 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.61 51.7 gems $1.10 1.69 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.61 51.7 gems $1.10 1.69 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.61 51.7 gems $1.10 1.69 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) [DaB12](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/DaB12) $33.61 51.7 gems $1.10 1.69 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.61 51.7 gems $1.10 1.69 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.61 51.7 gems $1.10 1.69 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.61 51.7 gems $1.10 1.69 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.61 51.7 gems $1.10 1.69 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $33.61 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% legendary 0.1% extraordinary 0.1% #eb4b4b 0.2% Ancient 0.1% Immortal 0.1% Legendary 0.2% pink 0.1% violet 99.0% best hit $10.7K (317.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt