--- title: "Dedication case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Dedication ($123.97) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 13 items with odds, observed 69.31% over 537 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dedication rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Dedication](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dedication) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Dedication A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dedication?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dedication?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dedication) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dedication?window=all) Price · $123.97 · 191 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $111.57 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 69.31% · 537 openings, odds method Variance · 12.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 127 openings · below min 7 days · 70.68% ±32.12 476 openings 30 days · 69.31% ±30.24 537 openings since tracking started · 69.31% ±30.24 537 openings 24.0% 87.0% 150.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dedication?window=24h) | 127 | 87.00% ±62.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dedication?window=7d) | 476 | 70.68% ±32.1 | −1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dedication) | 537 | 69.31% ±30.2 | −1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dedication?window=all) | 537 | 69.31% ±30.2 | −1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 543 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $7,310 11,246 gems | 13.1% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $3,721 5,725 gems | 10.0% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.61× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $2,048 3,151 gems | 9.2% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× | | [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,326 2,041 gems | 11.9% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.55× | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $1,027 1,580 gems | 9.2% | 1 | 5.4 | 0.18× | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $552 849 gems | 9.9% | 10 | 10.9 | 0.92× | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $295 453 gems | 5.3% | 9 | 10.9 | 0.83× | | [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $204 314 gems | 5.5% | 14 | 16.3 | 0.86× | | [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $142 218 gems | 6.4% | 18 | 27.1 | 0.66× | | [SG 553 \| Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bulldozer-factory-new) | 15.0% | $86.30 133 gems | 11.6% | 93 | 81.4 | 1.14× | | [USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 15.0% | $31.79 48.9 gems | 4.3% | 67 | 81.4 | 0.82× | | [P2000 \| Scorpion (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-scorpion-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $10.22 15.73 gems | 2.3% | 152 | 135.7 | 1.12× | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) | 30.0% | $5.35 8.23 gems | 1.4% | 172 | 162.9 | 1.06× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) [$1k LB - Code \*STV\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%241k%20LB%20-%20Code%20*STV*-8659005) $124 191 gems $7,310 11,246 gems 58.96x 2026-11-10 21:49 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $124 191 gems $3,721 5,725 gems 30.02x 2026-11-07 21:13 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $124 191 gems $2,048 3,151 gems 16.52x 2026-11-09 22:02 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $124 191 gems $2,048 3,151 gems 16.52x 2026-11-09 02:14 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-minimal-wear) Hidden $124 191 gems $1,326 2,041 gems 10.70x 2026-11-08 01:55 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-minimal-wear) [DMTsmoker2K26](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/DMTsmoker2K26) $124 191 gems $1,326 2,041 gems 10.70x 2026-11-07 10:23 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-minimal-wear) Hidden $124 191 gems $1,326 2,041 gems 10.70x 2026-11-03 19:18 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) Hidden $124 191 gems $1,027 1,580 gems 8.28x 2026-11-10 15:18 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Surgest](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Surgest) $124 191 gems $552 849 gems 4.45x 2026-11-10 15:18 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $124 191 gems $552 849 gems 4.45x 2026-11-10 15:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=dedication) [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) Hidden $124 191 gems $5.35 8.23 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [P2000 | Scorpion (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-scorpion-minimal-wear) Hidden $124 191 gems $10.22 15.73 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) Hidden $124 191 gems $5.35 8.23 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [USP-S | Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) Hidden $124 191 gems $31.79 48.9 gems 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [P2000 | Scorpion (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-scorpion-minimal-wear) Hidden $124 191 gems $10.22 15.73 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $124 191 gems $5.35 8.23 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [USP-S | Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) Hidden $124 191 gems $31.79 48.9 gems 0.26x 2026-11-10 21:51 UTC [SG 553 | Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $124 191 gems $86.30 133 gems 0.70x 2026-11-10 21:51 UTC [USP-S | Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) Hidden $124 191 gems $31.79 48.9 gems 0.26x 2026-11-10 21:51 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-battle-scarred) [$1k LB - Code \*STV\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%241k%20LB%20-%20Code%20*STV*-8659005) $124 191 gems $295 453 gems 2.38x 2026-11-10 21:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $124 | 90.00% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 31.7% contraband 0.3% classified 20.0% restricted 43.0% Restricted 5.0% best hit $7,310 (58.96x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt