--- title: "Deep Sea Diver case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Deep Sea Diver ($240.04) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 66.71% over 244 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deep-sea-diver rendered: 2026-11-11T19:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Deep Sea Diver](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deep-sea-diver) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Deep Sea Diver A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deep-sea-diver?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deep-sea-diver?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deep-sea-diver) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deep-sea-diver?window=all) Price · $240.04 · 369 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $216.03 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 66.71% · 244 openings, odds method Variance · 5.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 52 openings · below min 7 days · 77.46% ±32.97 196 openings 30 days · 66.71% ±29.55 244 openings since tracking started · 66.71% ±29.55 244 openings -0.5% 55.3% 111.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deep-sea-diver?window=24h) | 52 | 42.69% ±64.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deep-sea-diver?window=7d) | 196 | 77.46% ±33.0 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deep-sea-diver) | 244 | 66.71% ±29.5 | −1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/deep-sea-diver?window=all) | 244 | 66.71% ±29.5 | −1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 248 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 50 | $2,732 4,204 gems | 25.3% | 2 | 5.0 | 0.40× | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 50 | $2,514 3,867 gems | 23.3% | 2 | 5.0 | 0.40× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 50 | $1,364 2,098 gems | 12.6% | 7 | 5.0 | 1.41× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 33 | $1,001 1,540 gems | 13.9% | 7 | 7.4 | 0.94× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 33 | $819 1,259 gems | 11.4% | 6 | 7.4 | 0.81× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $185 285 gems | 5.1% | 16 | 14.9 | 1.08× | | [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 10.0% | $78.21 120 gems | 3.6% | 22 | 24.8 | 0.89× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-factory-new) | 15.0% | $50.60 77.85 gems | 3.5% | 32 | 37.2 | 0.86× | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 15.0% | $10.71 16.48 gems | 0.7% | 52 | 37.2 | 1.40× | | [Nova \| Tempest (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-tempest-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $4.60 7.07 gems | 0.3% | 36 | 37.2 | 0.97× | | [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) | 27.0% | $1.51 2.33 gems | 0.2% | 66 | 67.0 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $240 369 gems $2,732 4,204 gems 11.38x 2026-11-07 10:07 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $240 369 gems $2,732 4,204 gems 11.38x 2026-11-05 17:23 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $240 369 gems $2,514 3,867 gems 10.47x 2026-11-09 05:30 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $240 369 gems $2,514 3,867 gems 10.47x 2026-11-04 22:58 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $240 369 gems $1,364 2,098 gems 5.68x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $240 369 gems $1,364 2,098 gems 5.68x 2026-11-11 05:54 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $240 369 gems $1,364 2,098 gems 5.68x 2026-11-09 22:04 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $240 369 gems $1,364 2,098 gems 5.68x 2026-11-09 22:03 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [code kujtaa 200$gw+200$lb](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/code%20kujtaa%20200%24gw%2B200%24lb) $240 369 gems $1,364 2,098 gems 5.68x 2026-11-04 22:58 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [code kujtaa 200$gw+200$lb](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/code%20kujtaa%20200%24gw%2B200%24lb) $240 369 gems $1,364 2,098 gems 5.68x 2026-11-04 22:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=deep-sea-diver) [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $240 369 gems $10.71 16.48 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $240 369 gems $10.71 16.48 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) Hidden $240 369 gems $1.51 2.33 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [Nova | Tempest (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-tempest-minimal-wear) Hidden $240 369 gems $4.60 7.07 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $240 369 gems $10.71 16.48 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) [King-Hassany](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/King-Hassany) $240 369 gems $10.71 16.48 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) Hidden $240 369 gems $78.21 120 gems 0.33x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $240 369 gems $10.71 16.48 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [Nova | Tempest (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-tempest-minimal-wear) Hidden $240 369 gems $4.60 7.07 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) Hidden $240 369 gems $1.51 2.33 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $240 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 27.0% extraordinary 6.0% classified 10.0% gold 15.0% mil spec 42.0% best hit $2,732 (11.38x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt