--- title: "Diamond Handz case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Diamond Handz ($4,283.18) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 140.12% over 156 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/diamond-handz rendered: 2026-11-11T18:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Diamond Handz](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/diamond-handz) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Diamond Handz A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/diamond-handz?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/diamond-handz?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/diamond-handz) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/diamond-handz?window=all) Price · $4,283.18 · 6,590 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $3,854.82 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 140.12% · 156 openings, odds method Variance · 14.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 96 openings · below min 7 days · 108 openings · below min 30 days · 156 openings · below min since tracking started · 156 openings · below min 56.5% 138.0% 219.5% **Small sample.** 156 openings and 4.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/diamond-handz?window=24h) | 96 | 143.51% ±75.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/diamond-handz?window=7d) | 108 | 128.36% ±71.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/diamond-handz) | 156 | 140.12% ±59.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/diamond-handz?window=all) | 156 | 140.12% ±59.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 156 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $137K 210,000 gems | 35.4% | 4 | 1.6 | 2.56× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $55.3K 85,000 gems | 28.7% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.28× | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $34.1K 52,500 gems | 17.7% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $9,189 14,137 gems | 11.9% | 7 | 7.8 | 0.90× | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2,871 4,416 gems | 3.7% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.03× | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $716 1,102 gems | 0.9% | 5 | 7.8 | 0.64× | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $400 616 gems | 0.8% | 13 | 11.7 | 1.11× | | [G3SG1 \| Chronos (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $144 222 gems | 0.3% | 8 | 11.7 | 0.68× | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $101 155 gems | 0.3% | 19 | 15.6 | 1.22× | | [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $58.50 90 gems | 0.2% | 20 | 23.4 | 0.85× | | [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) | 20.0% | $16.20 24.93 gems | 0.1% | 38 | 31.2 | 1.22× | | [Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) | 20.0% | $3.24 4.99 gems | 0.0% | 28 | 31.2 | 0.90× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $137K 210,000 gems 31.87x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $137K 210,000 gems 31.87x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC [★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $137K 210,000 gems 31.87x 2026-11-03 22:56 UTC [★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $137K 210,000 gems 31.87x 2026-11-03 22:56 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $55.3K 85,000 gems 12.90x 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $55.3K 85,000 gems 12.90x 2026-11-11 11:14 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) [Rodarius Marcell Green Jr II](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Rodarius%20Marcell%20Green%20Jr%20II) $4,283 6,590 gems $55.3K 85,000 gems 12.90x 2026-11-11 11:02 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $55.3K 85,000 gems 12.90x 2026-11-11 11:02 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $34.1K 52,500 gems 7.97x 2026-11-11 11:14 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $34.1K 52,500 gems 7.97x 2026-11-03 22:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=diamond-handz) [Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $3.24 4.99 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $2,871 4,416 gems 0.67x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $137K 210,000 gems 31.87x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $3.24 4.99 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $3.24 4.99 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Chuck](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Chuck) $4,283 6,590 gems $16.20 24.93 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $101 155 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $16.20 24.93 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $16.20 24.93 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC [Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) Hidden $4,283 6,590 gems $3.24 4.99 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $4,283 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 3.0% legendary 2.0% extraordinary 5.0% covert 5.0% classified 42.5% restricted 42.5% best hit $137K (31.87x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt