--- title: "Disgusting case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Disgusting ($34.82) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 94.72% over 748 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/disgusting rendered: 2026-11-11T20:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Disgusting](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/disgusting) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Disgusting A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/disgusting?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/disgusting?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/disgusting) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/disgusting?window=all) Price · $34.82 · 53.57 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $31.34 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.72% · 748 openings, odds method Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 66 openings · below min 7 days · 93.26% ±18.45 629 openings 30 days · 94.72% ±16.92 748 openings since tracking started · 94.72% ±16.92 748 openings 27.0% 84.5% 142.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/disgusting?window=24h) | 66 | 84.45% ±57.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/disgusting?window=7d) | 629 | 93.26% ±18.4 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/disgusting) | 748 | 94.72% ±16.9 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/disgusting?window=all) | 748 | 94.72% ±16.9 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 748 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $378 581 gems | 60.2% | 40 | 37.4 | 1.07× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $66.25 102 gems | 21.1% | 84 | 74.8 | 1.12× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Arboreal (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-arboreal-well-worn) | 10.0% | $40.32 62.03 gems | 12.9% | 67 | 74.8 | 0.90× | | [AK-47 \| Predator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $9.38 14.43 gems | 1.5% | 29 | 37.4 | 0.78× | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $8.06 12.4 gems | 1.3% | 43 | 37.4 | 1.15× | | [P2000 \| Woodsman (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $2.95 4.54 gems | 1.4% | 108 | 112.2 | 0.96× | | [Nova \| Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $1.52 2.34 gems | 1.0% | 147 | 149.6 | 0.98× | | [AWP \| Acheron (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-well-worn) | 30.0% | $0.61 0.94 gems | 0.6% | 230 | 224.4 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=disgusting) [AWP | Acheron (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-well-worn) Hidden $34.82 53.57 gems $0.61 0.94 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 07:33 UTC [Nova | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) [Vaniooo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Vaniooo) $34.82 53.57 gems $1.52 2.34 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 07:33 UTC [Nova | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) Hidden $34.82 53.57 gems $1.52 2.34 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 01:07 UTC [Nova | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) Hidden $34.82 53.57 gems $1.52 2.34 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 01:07 UTC [AWP | Acheron (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-well-worn) Hidden $34.82 53.57 gems $0.61 0.94 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 01:07 UTC [AWP | Acheron (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-well-worn) [꧁ঔৣ☬✞AIDS✞☬ঔৣ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%EA%A7%81%E0%A6%94%E0%A7%A3%E2%98%AC%E2%9C%9EAIDS%E2%9C%9E%E2%98%AC%E0%A6%94%E0%A7%A3) $34.82 53.57 gems $0.61 0.94 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 01:07 UTC [AK-47 | Predator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-battle-scarred) Hidden $34.82 53.57 gems $9.38 14.43 gems 0.27x 2026-11-10 22:08 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-arboreal-well-worn) Hidden $34.82 53.57 gems $40.32 62.03 gems 1.16x 2026-11-10 22:08 UTC [P2000 | Woodsman (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-battle-scarred) Hidden $34.82 53.57 gems $2.95 4.54 gems 0.08x 2026-11-10 22:08 UTC [Nova | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) Hidden $34.82 53.57 gems $1.52 2.34 gems 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $34.82 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 5.0% covert knife 10.0% extraordinary 10.0% industrial 5.0% classified 5.0% restricted 15.0% consumer 20.0% milspec 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt