--- title: "Doug Jumper Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Doug Jumper Case ($24.21) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 15 items with odds, observed 117.84% over 2,801 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-jumper-case rendered: 2026-11-11T20:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Doug Jumper Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-jumper-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Doug Jumper Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-jumper-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-jumper-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-jumper-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-jumper-case?window=all) Price · $24.21 · 37.24 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $21.78 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 117.84% · 2,801 openings, odds method Variance · 90.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 94.24% ±86.23 469 openings 7 days · 123.60% ±38.11 2,401 openings 30 days · 117.84% ±35.28 2,801 openings since tracking started · 117.84% ±35.28 2,801 openings 7.5% 94.3% 181.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-jumper-case?window=24h) | 469 | 94.24% ±86.2 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-jumper-case?window=7d) | 2,401 | 123.60% ±38.1 | +1.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-jumper-case) | 2,801 | 117.84% ±35.3 | +1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-jumper-case?window=all) | 2,801 | 117.84% ±35.3 | +1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,810 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Blue Gem) (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-blue-gem-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $55.3K 85,000 gems | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100,000 | $34.1K 52,500 gems | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,236 11,133 gems | 3.3% | 3 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,665 7,177 gems | 2.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $653 1,005 gems | 3.0% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.78× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $396 609 gems | 1.8% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.07× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $386 595 gems | 8.9% | 15 | 14.0 | 1.07× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $330 508 gems | 7.6% | 20 | 14.0 | 1.42× | | [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $192 295 gems | 17.6% | 60 | 56.2 | 1.07× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $174 268 gems | 16.0% | 57 | 56.2 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $143 220 gems | 13.1% | 49 | 56.2 | 0.87× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $136 209 gems | 12.4% | 50 | 56.2 | 0.89× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Electric Hive (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-electric-hive-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $55.62 85.57 gems | 5.1% | 62 | 56.2 | 1.10× | | [StatTrak™ Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $34.17 52.57 gems | 3.1% | 47 | 56.2 | 0.84× | | [Sticker \| CS On The Mind sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cs-on-the-mind) | 86.8% | $0.44 0.68 gems | 1.8% | 2,439 | 2438.5 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $24.21 37.24 gems $7,236 11,133 gems 298.9x 2026-11-07 05:27 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) [aisha's man](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/aisha's%20man) $24.21 37.24 gems $7,236 11,133 gems 298.9x 2026-11-06 20:22 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $24.21 37.24 gems $7,236 11,133 gems 298.9x 2026-11-06 10:38 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.21 37.24 gems $653 1,005 gems 26.99x 2026-11-09 19:31 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.21 37.24 gems $653 1,005 gems 26.99x 2026-11-07 06:08 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.21 37.24 gems $653 1,005 gems 26.99x 2026-11-06 20:43 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) [TL\_HoNest](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TL_HoNest) $24.21 37.24 gems $653 1,005 gems 26.99x 2026-11-05 20:13 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Lubricant](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Lubricant) $24.21 37.24 gems $653 1,005 gems 26.99x 2026-11-05 04:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=doug-jumper-case) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $24.21 37.24 gems $136 209 gems 5.60x 2026-11-11 20:28 UTC [Sticker | CS On The Mind sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cs-on-the-mind) Hidden $24.21 37.24 gems $0.44 0.68 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:28 UTC [Sticker | CS On The Mind sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cs-on-the-mind) Hidden $24.21 37.24 gems $0.44 0.68 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:28 UTC [Sticker | CS On The Mind sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cs-on-the-mind) Hidden $24.21 37.24 gems $0.44 0.68 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:28 UTC [Sticker | CS On The Mind sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cs-on-the-mind) Hidden $24.21 37.24 gems $0.44 0.68 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:28 UTC [StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) [7gg7](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/7gg7) $24.21 37.24 gems $34.17 52.57 gems 1.41x 2026-11-11 20:28 UTC [Sticker | CS On The Mind sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cs-on-the-mind) Hidden $24.21 37.24 gems $0.44 0.68 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC [Sticker | CS On The Mind sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cs-on-the-mind) Hidden $24.21 37.24 gems $0.44 0.68 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC [Sticker | CS On The Mind sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cs-on-the-mind) Hidden $24.21 37.24 gems $0.44 0.68 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $24.21 37.24 gems $136 209 gems 5.60x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $24.21 | 89.98% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 0.0% legendary 0.0% covert 4.2% remarkable 0.0% extraordinary 1.0% classified 6.0% Classified 2.0% Rare 86.8% best hit $7,236 (298.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt