--- title: "Doug V2 case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Doug V2 ($133.09) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 17 items with odds, observed 77.06% over 1,036 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-v2 rendered: 2026-11-11T17:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Doug V2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-v2) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Doug V2 A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-v2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-v2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-v2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-v2?window=all) Price · $133.09 · 205 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $119.78 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 77.06% · 1,036 openings, odds method Variance · 28.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 23 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 86 openings · below min 7 days · 77.72% ±36.38 816 openings 30 days · 77.06% ±32.29 1,036 openings since tracking started · 77.06% ±32.29 1,036 openings 16.0% 128.8% 241.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-v2?window=24h) | 86 | 128.75% ±112.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-v2?window=7d) | 816 | 77.72% ±36.4 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-v2) | 1,036 | 77.06% ±32.3 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/doug-v2?window=all) | 1,036 | 77.06% ±32.3 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,036 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP Dragon Lore (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new-2) | 1 in 100,000 | $127K 195,000 gems | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 11,111 | $34.1K 52,490 gems | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,936 13,748 gems | 7.5% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $6,435 9,901 gems | 10.7% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $3,825 5,884 gems | 6.4% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.93× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $2,030 3,123 gems | 5.1% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $1,238 1,905 gems | 4.1% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 200 | $1,079 1,660 gems | 4.5% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.77× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Case Hardened (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $845 1,300 gems | 7.8% | 6 | 11.4 | 0.53× | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $632 972 gems | 7.9% | 15 | 15.5 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-katowice-2014) | 1 in 67 | $458 705 gems | 5.7% | 23 | 15.5 | 1.48× | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $380 584 gems | 6.0% | 29 | 19.7 | 1.47× | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $339 521 gems | 6.2% | 21 | 22.8 | 0.92× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $323 497 gems | 7.3% | 29 | 28.0 | 1.04× | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $293 450 gems | 8.1% | 37 | 34.2 | 1.08× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $259 398 gems | 9.1% | 30 | 43.4 | 0.69× | | [P90 \| Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) | 79.9% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.0% | 831 | 827.8 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $133 205 gems $6,435 9,901 gems 48.35x 2026-11-11 03:40 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $133 205 gems $3,825 5,884 gems 28.74x 2026-11-09 04:19 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) [Eversince](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Eversince) $133 205 gems $3,825 5,884 gems 28.74x 2026-11-07 16:12 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) [kick.com/davnh $300 RACE](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/kick.com%2Fdavnh%20%24300%20RACE) $133 205 gems $3,825 5,884 gems 28.74x 2026-11-05 01:20 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $133 205 gems $3,825 5,884 gems 28.74x 2026-11-04 04:45 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $133 205 gems $2,030 3,123 gems 15.25x 2026-11-09 04:19 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $133 205 gems $2,030 3,123 gems 15.25x 2026-11-04 04:47 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $133 205 gems $1,238 1,905 gems 9.30x 2026-11-10 20:11 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $133 205 gems $1,238 1,905 gems 9.30x 2026-11-10 20:11 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $133 205 gems $1,238 1,905 gems 9.30x 2026-11-09 02:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=doug-v2) [P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $133 205 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:47 UTC [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) Hidden $133 205 gems $380 584 gems 2.85x 2026-11-11 15:47 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $133 205 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:47 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $133 205 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:47 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $133 205 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $133 205 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $133 205 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $133 205 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $133 205 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) [Dingus](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dingus) $133 205 gems $323 497 gems 2.43x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $133 | 90.00% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 0.0% legendary 0.2% covert 7.9% contraband 0.2% extraordinary 1.5% exotic 0.5% classified 3.7% high 1.5% restricted 1.9% epic 2.7% consumer 79.9% best hit $6,435 (48.35x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt