--- title: "Drawing the REDLINE case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Drawing the REDLINE ($13.53) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 8 items with odds, observed 96.99% over 938 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drawing-the-redline rendered: 2026-11-11T20:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Drawing the REDLINE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drawing-the-redline) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Drawing the REDLINE A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drawing-the-redline?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drawing-the-redline?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drawing-the-redline) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drawing-the-redline?window=all) Price · $13.53 · 20.81 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $12.17 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.99% · 938 openings, odds method Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 94.01% ±12.78 274 openings 7 days · 96.58% ±7.37 824 openings 30 days · 96.99% ±6.90 938 openings since tracking started · 96.99% ±6.90 938 openings 80.5% 94.0% 107.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.99% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (90.09% – 103.89%, 938 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drawing-the-redline?window=24h) | 274 | 94.01% ±12.8 | +0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drawing-the-redline?window=7d) | 824 | 96.58% ±7.37 | +1.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drawing-the-redline) | 938 | 96.99% ±6.90 | +2.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drawing-the-redline?window=all) | 938 | 96.99% ±6.90 | +2.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 951 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $92.44 142 gems | 7.6% | 16 | 9.5 | 1.68× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $76.71 118 gems | 12.6% | 20 | 19.0 | 1.05× | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $40.31 62.02 gems | 6.6% | 21 | 19.0 | 1.10× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $21.48 33.05 gems | 26.5% | 149 | 142.6 | 1.04× | | [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 15.0% | $15.96 24.56 gems | 19.7% | 139 | 142.6 | 0.97× | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 10.0% | $8.38 12.89 gems | 6.9% | 114 | 95.1 | 1.20× | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 10.0% | $5.43 8.35 gems | 4.5% | 78 | 95.1 | 0.82× | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 45.0% | $4.24 6.53 gems | 15.7% | 414 | 428.0 | 0.97× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=drawing-the-redline) [AK-47 | Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.53 20.81 gems $4.24 6.53 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) Hidden $13.53 20.81 gems $21.48 33.05 gems 1.59x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.53 20.81 gems $4.24 6.53 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.53 20.81 gems $4.24 6.53 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) Hidden $13.53 20.81 gems $8.38 12.89 gems 0.62x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) [TTHD](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TTHD) $13.53 20.81 gems $15.96 24.56 gems 1.18x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) Hidden $13.53 20.81 gems $21.48 33.05 gems 1.59x 2026-11-11 16:05 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.53 20.81 gems $4.24 6.53 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 16:05 UTC [AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) Hidden $13.53 20.81 gems $15.96 24.56 gems 1.18x 2026-11-11 16:05 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) Hidden $13.53 20.81 gems $8.38 12.89 gems 0.62x 2026-11-11 16:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $13.53 | 89.99% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 98.0% Legendary 2.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt