--- title: "Dream Big case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dream Big ($0.05) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 85.79% from 2 items with odds, observed 124.11% over 52.5K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dream-big rendered: 2026-11-11T13:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Dream Big](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dream-big) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Dream Big A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dream-big?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dream-big?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dream-big) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dream-big?window=all) Price · $0.05 · 0.08 gems Advertised RTP · 85.79% · EV $0.04 from 2 items Observed RTP, 30d · 124.11% · 52.5K openings, odds method Variance · 5371.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 10,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 100.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4,605 openings · below min 7 days · 42,415 openings · below min 30 days · 124.11% ±62.69 52.5K openings since tracking started · 124.11% ±62.69 52.5K openings -0.5% 112.3% 225.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dream-big?window=24h) | 4,605 | 12.46% ±211.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dream-big?window=7d) | 42.4K | 116.14% ±69.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dream-big) | 52.5K | 124.11% ±62.7 | +1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dream-big?window=all) | 52.5K | 124.11% ±62.7 | +1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 53.6K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $381 586 gems | 85.4% | 8 | 5.4 | 1.49× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) | 100.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 14.6% | 53,642 | 53644.6 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=dream-big) [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.05 0.08 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.05 0.08 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.05 0.08 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.05 0.08 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.05 0.08 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [𝕹𝕽𝕲](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%F0%9D%95%B9%F0%9D%95%BD%F0%9D%95%B2) $0.05 0.08 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [So\*\*\*ne](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/So***ne-11681657) $0.05 0.08 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.05 0.08 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.05 0.08 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.05 0.08 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $0.05 | 85.79% | 2 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 0.0% consumer 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.79 on average: an expected loss of $14.21 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt