---
title: "Dreams & Nightmares Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Dreams & Nightmares Case ($1.51) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.82% from 46 items with odds, observed 74.22% over 22.4K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dreams-and-nightmares-case
rendered: 2026-11-12T04:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Dreams & Nightmares Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dreams-and-nightmares-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Dreams & Nightmares Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dreams-and-nightmares-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dreams-and-nightmares-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dreams-and-nightmares-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dreams-and-nightmares-case?window=all)

Price · $1.51 · 2.33 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.82% · EV $1.36 from 46 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 74.22% · 22.4K openings, odds method

Variance · 453.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 1,250 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 1,768 openings · below min

7 days · 73.62% ±30.99 18.1K openings

30 days · 74.22% ±27.89 22.4K openings

since tracking started · 74.22% ±27.89 22.4K openings

-0.5% 71.8% 144.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dreams-and-nightmares-case?window=24h) | 1,768 | 44.02% ±99.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dreams-and-nightmares-case?window=7d) | 18.1K | 73.62% ±31.0 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dreams-and-nightmares-case) | 22.4K | 74.22% ±27.9 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dreams-and-nightmares-case?window=all) | 22.4K | 74.22% ±27.9 | −1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 46 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 22.6K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $2,509 3,861 gems | 14.8% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,717 2,641 gems | 10.1% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,332 2,050 gems | 7.8% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $793 1,221 gems | 4.7% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $647 996 gems | 3.8% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $639 982 gems | 3.8% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $255 393 gems | 1.5% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $230 354 gems | 1.4% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $222 341 gems | 1.3% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.66× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $222 341 gems | 1.3% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.66× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $190 292 gems | 1.1% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $167 256 gems | 1.0% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $164 252 gems | 1.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $161 248 gems | 0.9% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $149 230 gems | 0.9% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.21× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $131 201 gems | 0.8% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $117 180 gems | 0.7% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $103 158 gems | 0.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $95.17 146 gems | 0.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $94.90 146 gems | 0.6% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $91.98 142 gems | 0.5% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $91.71 141 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $87.60 135 gems | 0.5% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $83.54 129 gems | 0.5% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $83.27 128 gems | 0.5% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.66× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $83.04 128 gems | 0.5% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $77.38 119 gems | 0.5% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $68.45 105 gems | 0.4% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $66.57 102 gems | 0.4% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.66× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $64.79 99.67 gems | 0.4% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.66× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $36.67 56.41 gems | 8.6% | 79 | 72.4 | 1.09× |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $8.85 13.61 gems | 2.1% | 65 | 72.4 | 0.90× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $4.32 6.65 gems | 3.4% | 231 | 241.2 | 0.96× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $4.12 6.34 gems | 3.2% | 228 | 241.2 | 0.95× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $4.10 6.31 gems | 3.2% | 248 | 241.2 | 1.03× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.86 1.33 gems | 2.0% | 674 | 723.2 | 0.93× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.86 1.32 gems | 2.0% | 748 | 723.2 | 1.03× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.75 1.15 gems | 1.8% | 745 | 723.2 | 1.03× |
| [XM1014 \| Zombie Offensive (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.72 1.1 gems | 1.7% | 707 | 723.2 | 0.98× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.70 1.08 gems | 1.6% | 695 | 723.2 | 0.96× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) | 13.3% | $0.15 0.23 gems | 1.5% | 2,986 | 3013.9 | 0.99× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-factory-new) | 13.3% | $0.14 0.22 gems | 1.4% | 3,062 | 3013.9 | 1.02× |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-factory-new) | 13.3% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 1.2% | 3,089 | 3013.9 | 1.02× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Poultrygeist (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-poultrygeist-factory-new) | 13.3% | $0.11 0.17 gems | 1.1% | 2,991 | 3013.9 | 0.99× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-factory-new) | 13.3% | $0.10 0.16 gems | 1.0% | 3,016 | 3013.9 | 1.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-factory-new) | 13.3% | $0.10 0.16 gems | 1.0% | 3,014 | 3018.9 | 1.00× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $2,509 3,861 gems 1,657x 2026-11-07 18:34 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $1,717 2,641 gems 1,133x 2026-11-05 09:31 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $1,332 2,050 gems 879.6x 2026-11-06 12:43 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $1,332 2,050 gems 879.6x 2026-11-04 06:30 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $793 1,221 gems 523.9x 2026-11-04 01:44 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $639 982 gems 421.6x 2026-11-07 00:36 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $255 393 gems 168.6x 2026-11-10 03:04 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $230 354 gems 152.0x 2026-11-08 21:45 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $222 341 gems 146.3x 2026-11-07 20:40 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $222 341 gems 146.3x 2026-11-07 07:32 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=dreams-and-nightmares-case)

[SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-poultrygeist-factory-new) [Pie\*\*\*imé](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pie***im%C3%A9-9716155) $1.51 2.33 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:40 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) [Pie\*\*\*imé](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pie***im%C3%A9-9716155) $1.51 2.33 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.10x 2026-11-12 04:40 UTC

[P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-factory-new) [Pie\*\*\*imé](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pie***im%C3%A9-9716155) $1.51 2.33 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.08x 2026-11-12 04:40 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-poultrygeist-factory-new) [Pie\*\*\*imé](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pie***im%C3%A9-9716155) $1.51 2.33 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:40 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-factory-new) [Pie\*\*\*imé](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pie***im%C3%A9-9716155) $1.51 2.33 gems $0.10 0.16 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:40 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-factory-new) [Pie\*\*\*imé](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pie***im%C3%A9-9716155) $1.51 2.33 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.09x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

[MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-factory-new) [Pie\*\*\*imé](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pie***im%C3%A9-9716155) $1.51 2.33 gems $0.10 0.16 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-factory-new) [Pie\*\*\*imé](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pie***im%C3%A9-9716155) $1.51 2.33 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.09x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

[MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-factory-new) [Pie\*\*\*imé](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pie***im%C3%A9-9716155) $1.51 2.33 gems $0.10 0.16 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) [Pie\*\*\*imé](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pie***im%C3%A9-9716155) $1.51 2.33 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.10x 2026-11-12 04:37 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1.51 | 89.82% | 46 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.4% gold 0.0% covert knife 0.0% sunny 0.0% Covert 0.0% Immortal 0.0% rare 0.0% red 0.3% Legendary 2.1% classified 1.1% #8847ff 6.4% Restricted 3.2% violet 3.2% Mythical 3.2% milspec 13.3% Rare 40.0% blue 26.7% best hit $2,509 (1,657x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.82 on average: an expected loss of $10.18 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt