--- title: "Drew case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Drew ($506.38) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 29 items with odds, observed 76.85% over 609 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drew rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Drew](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drew) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Drew A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drew?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drew?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drew) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drew?window=all) Price · $506.38 · 779 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $455.74 from 29 items Observed RTP, 30d · 76.85% · 609 openings, odds method Variance · 8.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 89.01% ±49.39 126 openings 7 days · 73.83% ±23.94 536 openings 30 days · 76.85% ±22.46 609 openings since tracking started · 76.85% ±22.46 609 openings 39.0% 89.0% 139.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drew?window=24h) | 126 | 89.01% ±49.4 | −0.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drew?window=7d) | 536 | 73.83% ±23.9 | −1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drew) | 609 | 76.85% ±22.5 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drew?window=all) | 609 | 76.85% ±22.5 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 609 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $27.3K 42,011 gems | 3.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $11.4K 17,568 gems | 5.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $9,103 14,004 gems | 6.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $8,775 13,500 gems | 9.6% | 3 | 3.0 | 0.99× | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $6,462 9,942 gems | 7.8% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.60× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 154 | $5,097 7,841 gems | 7.3% | 6 | 4.0 | 1.52× | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $3,825 5,884 gems | 7.1% | 3 | 5.2 | 0.58× | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $3,777 5,811 gems | 7.5% | 6 | 5.5 | 1.09× | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $3,707 5,703 gems | 6.5% | 16 | 4.9 | 3.28× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2,965 4,561 gems | 6.5% | 8 | 6.1 | 1.31× | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 91 | $2,455 3,777 gems | 5.9% | 7 | 6.7 | 1.04× | | [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $1,043 1,604 gems | 2.7% | 3 | 7.3 | 0.41× | | [Souvenir SG 553 \| Integrale (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sg-553-integrale-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $983 1,512 gems | 2.7% | 9 | 7.6 | 1.18× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-minimal-wear) | 1 in 69 | $923 1,420 gems | 2.9% | 2 | 8.8 | 0.23× | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $683 1,050 gems | 2.2% | 16 | 9.1 | 1.75× | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-hand-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $574 883 gems | 1.9% | 5 | 9.1 | 0.55× | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $573 882 gems | 1.9% | 10 | 9.1 | 1.09× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $559 860 gems | 1.8% | 6 | 9.1 | 0.66× | | [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $545 839 gems | 1.8% | 5 | 9.1 | 0.55× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $536 825 gems | 1.8% | 6 | 9.1 | 0.66× | | [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $455 700 gems | 1.5% | 12 | 9.1 | 1.31× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $382 588 gems | 1.3% | 16 | 9.1 | 1.75× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $218 335 gems | 0.7% | 12 | 9.1 | 1.31× | | [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $214 329 gems | 1.7% | 18 | 22.5 | 0.80× | | [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $125 193 gems | 0.8% | 22 | 18.3 | 1.20× | | [SG 553 \| Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $74.91 115 gems | 0.7% | 23 | 24.4 | 0.94× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $45.97 70.72 gems | 0.5% | 25 | 30.4 | 0.82× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 10.0% | $17.38 26.74 gems | 0.4% | 66 | 60.9 | 1.08× | | [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) | 50.0% | $3.63 5.58 gems | 0.4% | 317 | 304.5 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $506 779 gems $11.4K 17,568 gems 22.55x 2026-11-09 23:54 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $506 779 gems $8,775 13,500 gems 17.33x 2026-11-11 12:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) [Live @ Kick/JaekCreates](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Live%20%40%20Kick%2FJaekCreates) $506 779 gems $8,775 13,500 gems 17.33x 2026-11-04 00:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $506 779 gems $8,775 13,500 gems 17.33x 2026-11-03 16:44 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $506 779 gems $6,462 9,942 gems 12.76x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $506 779 gems $6,462 9,942 gems 12.76x 2026-11-03 17:13 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $506 779 gems $5,097 7,841 gems 10.07x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) [Ola](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Ola) $506 779 gems $5,097 7,841 gems 10.07x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $506 779 gems $5,097 7,841 gems 10.07x 2026-11-11 12:09 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $506 779 gems $5,097 7,841 gems 10.07x 2026-11-07 14:39 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=drew) [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) Hidden $506 779 gems $3.63 5.58 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) Hidden $506 779 gems $3.63 5.58 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) Hidden $506 779 gems $3.63 5.58 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) Hidden $506 779 gems $573 882 gems 1.13x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $506 779 gems $17.38 26.74 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) [Ola](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Ola) $506 779 gems $3.63 5.58 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) Hidden $506 779 gems $3.63 5.58 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $506 779 gems $5,097 7,841 gems 10.07x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) Hidden $506 779 gems $3.63 5.58 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [SG 553 | Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) Hidden $506 779 gems $74.91 115 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $506 | 90.00% | 29 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 7.9% sunny 0.2% extraordinary 6.1% contraband 0.9% Covert 3.8% #eb4b4b 1.2% classified 21.8% restricted 56.7% Classified 1.5% best hit $11.4K (22.55x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt