--- title: "Drippy Oasis? case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Drippy Oasis? ($2,371.75) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 73.07% over 24 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drippy-oasis rendered: 2026-11-11T18:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Drippy Oasis?](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drippy-oasis) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Drippy Oasis? A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drippy-oasis?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drippy-oasis?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drippy-oasis) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drippy-oasis?window=all) Price · $2,371.75 · 3,649 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $2,134.55 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 73.07% · 24 openings, odds method Variance · 7.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min -0.5% 175.3% 351.0% **Small sample.** 24 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drippy-oasis?window=24h) | 6 | 129.49% ±220.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drippy-oasis?window=7d) | 18 | 58.02% ±127.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drippy-oasis) | 24 | 73.07% ±110.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drippy-oasis?window=all) | 24 | 73.07% ±110.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $55.8K 85,835 gems | 26.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $24.6K 37,866 gems | 17.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 40 | $13.2K 20,378 gems | 15.5% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $4,688 7,213 gems | 11.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $3,886 5,978 gems | 14.6% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $2,245 3,454 gems | 8.4% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $769 1,183 gems | 2.9% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.56× | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 22.0% | $239 368 gems | 2.5% | 4 | 5.3 | 0.76× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-battle-scarred) | 44.0% | $84.66 130 gems | 1.7% | 12 | 10.6 | 1.14× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $13.2K 20,378 gems 5.58x 2026-11-10 19:56 UTC [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $13.2K 20,378 gems 5.58x 2026-11-04 14:47 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $4,688 7,213 gems 1.98x 2026-11-10 19:56 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $3,886 5,978 gems 1.64x 2026-11-08 13:33 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $2,245 3,454 gems 0.95x 2026-11-04 14:47 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $769 1,183 gems 0.32x 2026-11-08 13:33 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $769 1,183 gems 0.32x 2026-11-07 12:16 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $769 1,183 gems 0.32x 2026-11-04 14:47 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=drippy-oasis) [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $84.66 130 gems 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:56 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $84.66 130 gems 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:56 UTC [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $13.2K 20,378 gems 5.58x 2026-11-10 19:56 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $4,688 7,213 gems 1.98x 2026-11-10 19:56 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $84.66 130 gems 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:56 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) [Kick.com/Romix](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick.com%2FRomix) $2,372 3,649 gems $239 368 gems 0.10x 2026-11-10 19:56 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $769 1,183 gems 0.32x 2026-11-08 13:33 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $84.66 130 gems 0.04x 2026-11-08 13:33 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $84.66 130 gems 0.04x 2026-11-08 13:33 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $2,372 3,649 gems $3,886 5,978 gems 1.64x 2026-11-08 13:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $2,372 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 44.0% legendary 9.5% base 2.5% extraordinary 44.0% best hit $13.2K (5.58x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt