--- title: "Drive By case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Drive By ($9.98) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 7 items with odds, observed 87.65% over 2,495 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drive-by rendered: 2026-11-11T19:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Drive By](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drive-by) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Drive By A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drive-by?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drive-by?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drive-by) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drive-by?window=all) Price · $9.98 · 15.36 gems Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $8.98 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.65% · 2,495 openings, odds method Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 91.08% ±21.09 439 openings 7 days · 89.09% ±9.23 2,290 openings 30 days · 87.65% ±8.85 2,495 openings since tracking started · 87.65% ±8.85 2,495 openings 69.5% 91.2% 113.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drive-by?window=24h) | 439 | 91.08% ±21.1 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drive-by?window=7d) | 2,290 | 89.09% ±9.23 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drive-by) | 2,495 | 87.65% ±8.85 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drive-by?window=all) | 2,495 | 87.65% ±8.85 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,501 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $167 258 gems | 18.6% | 25 | 25.0 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $51.25 78.85 gems | 34.2% | 150 | 150.1 | 1.00× | | [Dual Berettas \| Duelist (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $42.91 66.01 gems | 38.2% | 188 | 200.1 | 0.94× | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Highwayman (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Heavy](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-highwayman-factory-new) | 15.0% | $3.69 5.67 gems | 6.2% | 377 | 375.1 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-well-worn) | 15.0% | $1.10 1.69 gems | 1.8% | 359 | 375.1 | 0.96× | | [Tec-9 \| VariCamo (Well-Worn) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-varicamo-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.21 0.33 gems | 0.5% | 525 | 500.2 | 1.05× | | [Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-well-worn) | 35.0% | $0.11 0.17 gems | 0.4% | 877 | 875.4 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=drive-by) [Dual Berettas | Duelist (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-factory-new) Hidden $9.98 15.36 gems $42.91 66.01 gems 4.30x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-well-worn) Hidden $9.98 15.36 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-well-worn) Hidden $9.98 15.36 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-well-worn) Hidden $9.98 15.36 gems $1.10 1.69 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-well-worn) Hidden $9.98 15.36 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-well-worn) [Bandit enardo.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Bandit%20enardo.gg) $9.98 15.36 gems $1.10 1.69 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-well-worn) Hidden $9.98 15.36 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:05 UTC [Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-well-worn) Hidden $9.98 15.36 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:05 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $9.98 15.36 gems $51.25 78.85 gems 5.13x 2026-11-11 19:05 UTC [Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-well-worn) Hidden $9.98 15.36 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $9.98 | 89.95% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 2 20.0% covert 1.0% classified 6.0% restricted 8.0% Heavy 15.0% milspec 15.0% Mil Spec Grade 35.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt