--- title: "Drop Me Pls case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Drop Me Pls ($2,051.36) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 90.06% over 26 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drop-me-pls rendered: 2026-11-11T18:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Drop Me Pls](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drop-me-pls) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Drop Me Pls A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drop-me-pls?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drop-me-pls?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drop-me-pls) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drop-me-pls?window=all) Price · $2,051.36 · 3,156 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,846.22 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.06% · 26 openings, odds method Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 26 openings · below min 30 days · 26 openings · below min since tracking started · 26 openings · below min 39.0% 90.3% 141.5% **Small sample.** 26 openings and 3.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drop-me-pls?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drop-me-pls?window=7d) | 26 | 90.06% ±50.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drop-me-pls) | 26 | 90.06% ±50.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drop-me-pls?window=all) | 26 | 90.06% ±50.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 26 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8,336 12,825 gems | 22.6% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.31× | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8,336 12,825 gems | 22.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $7,754 11,930 gems | 21.0% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $1,803 2,773 gems | 7.3% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $1,510 2,324 gems | 6.1% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $1,316 2,024 gems | 5.3% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.54× | | [AWP \| Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $1,014 1,560 gems | 5.5% | 6 | 2.6 | 2.31× | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $934 1,437 gems | 5.1% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.77× | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $361 555 gems | 2.4% | 6 | 3.3 | 1.85× | | [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 12.5% | $171 263 gems | 1.2% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.62× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 17.5% | $93.98 145 gems | 0.9% | 3 | 4.5 | 0.66× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $8,336 12,825 gems 4.06x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $8,336 12,825 gems 4.06x 2026-11-07 12:16 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $8,336 12,825 gems 4.06x 2026-11-05 23:48 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $8,336 12,825 gems 4.06x 2026-11-05 23:48 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $1,316 2,024 gems 0.64x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [Chuck](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Chuck) $2,051 3,156 gems $1,316 2,024 gems 0.64x 2026-11-06 12:56 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $1,316 2,024 gems 0.64x 2026-11-05 23:48 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) [Chuck](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Chuck) $2,051 3,156 gems $1,014 1,560 gems 0.49x 2026-11-07 12:16 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $1,014 1,560 gems 0.49x 2026-11-07 12:16 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $1,014 1,560 gems 0.49x 2026-11-06 12:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=drop-me-pls) [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $93.98 145 gems 0.05x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $934 1,437 gems 0.46x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $171 263 gems 0.08x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $1,316 2,024 gems 0.64x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $8,336 12,825 gems 4.06x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $2,051 3,156 gems $361 555 gems 0.18x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $361 555 gems 0.18x 2026-11-07 12:16 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $1,014 1,560 gems 0.49x 2026-11-07 12:16 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $8,336 12,825 gems 4.06x 2026-11-07 12:16 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $2,051 3,156 gems $93.98 145 gems 0.05x 2026-11-07 12:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $2,051 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 5.0% legendary 5.0% covert 50.0% classified 27.5% restricted 12.5% best hit $8,336 (4.06x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt