--- title: "Drug War case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Drug War ($127.17) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 5 items with odds, observed 85.83% over 518 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drug-war rendered: 2026-11-12T01:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Drug War](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drug-war) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Drug War A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drug-war?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drug-war?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drug-war) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drug-war?window=all) Price · $127.17 · 196 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $114.45 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.83% · 518 openings, odds method Variance · 4.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 56 openings · below min 7 days · 81.89% ±19.75 434 openings 30 days · 85.83% ±18.08 518 openings since tracking started · 85.83% ±18.08 518 openings -0.5% 53.8% 108.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drug-war?window=24h) | 56 | 52.52% ±55.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drug-war?window=7d) | 434 | 81.89% ±19.7 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drug-war) | 518 | 85.83% ±18.1 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/drug-war?window=all) | 518 | 85.83% ±18.1 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 518 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $887 1,365 gems | 77.5% | 50 | 51.8 | 0.97× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-factory-new) | 10.0% | $236 363 gems | 20.6% | 47 | 51.8 | 0.91× | | [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) | 25.0% | $7.23 11.12 gems | 1.6% | 127 | 129.5 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) | 25.0% | $0.77 1.18 gems | 0.2% | 135 | 129.5 | 1.04× | | [SCAR-20 \| Green Marine (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-green-marine-factory-new) | 30.0% | $0.27 0.41 gems | 0.1% | 159 | 155.4 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $127 196 gems $887 1,365 gems 6.98x 2026-11-11 23:50 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $127 196 gems $887 1,365 gems 6.98x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $127 196 gems $887 1,365 gems 6.98x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $127 196 gems $887 1,365 gems 6.98x 2026-11-10 21:54 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $127 196 gems $887 1,365 gems 6.98x 2026-11-10 21:50 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $127 196 gems $887 1,365 gems 6.98x 2026-11-10 21:50 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $127 196 gems $887 1,365 gems 6.98x 2026-11-10 21:50 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $127 196 gems $887 1,365 gems 6.98x 2026-11-10 21:49 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $127 196 gems $887 1,365 gems 6.98x 2026-11-10 21:48 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $127 196 gems $887 1,365 gems 6.98x 2026-11-10 21:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=drug-war) [SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-green-marine-factory-new) Hidden $127 196 gems $0.27 0.41 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:12 UTC [AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $127 196 gems $7.23 11.12 gems 0.06x 2026-11-12 00:12 UTC [SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-green-marine-factory-new) Hidden $127 196 gems $0.27 0.41 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:12 UTC [AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $127 196 gems $7.23 11.12 gems 0.06x 2026-11-12 00:12 UTC [Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $127 196 gems $0.77 1.18 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 00:12 UTC [AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) [Surgest](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Surgest) $127 196 gems $7.23 11.12 gems 0.06x 2026-11-12 00:12 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $127 196 gems $887 1,365 gems 6.98x 2026-11-11 23:50 UTC [SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-green-marine-factory-new) Hidden $127 196 gems $0.27 0.41 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:50 UTC [Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $127 196 gems $0.77 1.18 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 23:50 UTC [AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $127 196 gems $7.23 11.12 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 23:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $127 | 90.00% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 10.0% Extraordinary 10.0% mil spec 25.0% High Grade 25.0% Rare 30.0% best hit $887 (6.98x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt