--- title: "Dune case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dune ($0.27) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.81% from 5 items with odds, observed 88.83% over 44K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dune rendered: 2026-11-11T12:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Dune](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dune) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Dune A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dune?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dune?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dune) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dune?window=all) Price · $0.27 · 0.42 gems Advertised RTP · 88.81% · EV $0.24 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.83% · 44K openings, odds method Variance · 6.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.36% ±7.04 5,017 openings 7 days · 88.19% ±2.59 37.2K openings 30 days · 88.83% ±2.38 44K openings since tracking started · 88.83% ±2.38 44K openings 79.5% 87.3% 95.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dune?window=24h) | 5,017 | 87.36% ±7.04 | −0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dune?window=7d) | 37.2K | 88.19% ±2.59 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dune) | 44K | 88.83% ±2.38 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dune?window=all) | 44K | 88.83% ±2.38 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 44.9K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [SSG 08 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $2.33 3.58 gems | 96.0% | 4,508 | 4485.4 | 1.01× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 1.6% | 8,902 | 8970.7 | 0.99× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 gems | 1.1% | 8,930 | 8970.7 | 1.00× | | [Nova \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.5% | 8,990 | 8970.7 | 1.00× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.8% | 13,524 | 13456.5 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=dune) [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.42 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.42 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.42 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.42 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.42 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [YT - IronSilkCSGO](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/YT%20-%20IronSilkCSGO) $0.27 0.42 gems $2.33 3.58 gems 8.52x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.42 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.42 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.42 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.42 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $0.27 | 88.81% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Consumer Grade 10.0% consumer 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.81 on average: an expected loss of $11.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt