--- title: "E-Boy case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "E-Boy ($23.78) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 71.36% over 2,477 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-boy rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [E-Boy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-boy) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · E-Boy A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-boy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-boy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-boy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-boy?window=all) Price · $23.78 · 36.59 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $21.40 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 71.36% · 2,477 openings, odds method Variance · 37.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 69 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 65.58% ±64.26 352 openings 7 days · 72.63% ±25.55 2,227 openings 30 days · 71.36% ±24.22 2,477 openings since tracking started · 71.36% ±24.22 2,477 openings 0.5% 65.5% 130.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-boy?window=24h) | 352 | 65.58% ±64.3 | −0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-boy?window=7d) | 2,227 | 72.63% ±25.5 | −1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-boy) | 2,477 | 71.36% ±24.2 | −1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-boy?window=all) | 2,477 | 71.36% ±24.2 | −1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,489 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $2,372 3,650 gems | 22.2% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.60× | | [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $1,798 2,766 gems | 21.0% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.80× | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $437 673 gems | 20.4% | 22 | 24.9 | 0.88× | | [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $146 225 gems | 17.4% | 61 | 63.5 | 0.96× | | [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $26.39 40.6 gems | 6.2% | 108 | 124.5 | 0.87× | | [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $17.78 27.36 gems | 6.2% | 177 | 186.7 | 0.95× | | [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $3.82 5.88 gems | 2.7% | 398 | 373.4 | 1.07× | | [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2.50 3.85 gems | 2.3% | 522 | 497.8 | 1.05× | | [SCAR-20 \| Trail Blazer (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-factory-new) | 20.5% | $1.05 1.61 gems | 1.0% | 516 | 510.2 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| Flex sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flex) | 28.0% | $0.41 0.63 gems | 0.5% | 677 | 696.9 | 0.97× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $2,372 3,650 gems 99.75x 2026-11-09 21:38 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $2,372 3,650 gems 99.75x 2026-11-06 13:35 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $2,372 3,650 gems 99.75x 2026-11-05 20:06 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-field-tested) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $1,798 2,766 gems 75.59x 2026-11-10 17:43 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-field-tested) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $1,798 2,766 gems 75.59x 2026-11-09 20:33 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-field-tested) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $1,798 2,766 gems 75.59x 2026-11-05 22:41 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-field-tested) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $1,798 2,766 gems 75.59x 2026-11-05 21:28 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-field-tested) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $1,798 2,766 gems 75.59x 2026-11-02 21:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=e-boy) [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $2.50 3.85 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $2.50 3.85 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-factory-new) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $1.05 1.61 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-factory-new) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $1.05 1.61 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $2.50 3.85 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [Sticker | Flex sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flex) [Lonsdale BOSWALL](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Lonsdale%20BOSWALL) $23.78 36.59 gems $0.41 0.63 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [Sticker | Flex sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flex) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $0.41 0.63 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC [Sticker | Flex sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flex) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $0.41 0.63 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $2.50 3.85 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC [Sticker | Flex sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flex) Hidden $23.78 36.59 gems $0.41 0.63 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $23.78 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.2% classified 0.3% covert 1.0% rare 2.5% mil spec 5.0% pink 7.5% Legendary 15.0% restricted 20.0% blue 48.5% best hit $2,372 (99.75x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt