--- title: "E-Girl case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "E-Girl ($26.88) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 10 items with odds, observed 89.80% over 605 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-girl rendered: 2026-11-12T01:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [E-Girl](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-girl) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · E-Girl A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-girl?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-girl?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-girl) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-girl?window=all) Price · $26.88 · 41.35 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $24.18 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.80% · 605 openings, odds method Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 84 openings · below min 7 days · 89.70% ±14.91 520 openings 30 days · 89.80% ±13.82 605 openings since tracking started · 89.80% ±13.82 605 openings 64.0% 101.8% 139.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-girl?window=24h) | 84 | 101.76% ±37.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-girl?window=7d) | 520 | 89.70% ±14.9 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-girl) | 605 | 89.80% ±13.8 | −0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-girl?window=all) | 605 | 89.80% ±13.8 | −0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 643 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $348 536 gems | 14.4% | 7 | 6.4 | 1.09× | | [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $132 202 gems | 16.3% | 19 | 19.3 | 0.98× | | [AWP \| Crakow! (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $131 202 gems | 16.3% | 14 | 19.3 | 0.73× | | [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $111 172 gems | 13.8% | 29 | 19.3 | 1.50× | | [Galil AR \| Phoenix Blacklight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-phoenix-blacklight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $30.58 47.05 gems | 6.3% | 33 | 32.1 | 1.03× | | [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $21.61 33.25 gems | 4.5% | 29 | 32.1 | 0.90× | | [Sticker \| Dystopian Gaze (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dystopian-gaze-lenticular) | 10.0% | $15.26 23.47 gems | 6.3% | 56 | 64.3 | 0.87× | | [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $10.20 15.69 gems | 8.4% | 138 | 128.6 | 1.07× | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-wasteland-princess-factory-new) | 20.0% | $8.68 13.36 gems | 7.2% | 120 | 128.6 | 0.93× | | [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 30.0% | $5.22 8.03 gems | 6.5% | 198 | 192.9 | 1.03× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=e-girl) [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-wasteland-princess-factory-new) Hidden $26.88 41.35 gems $8.68 13.36 gems 0.32x 2026-11-12 01:13 UTC [Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) Hidden $26.88 41.35 gems $5.22 8.03 gems 0.19x 2026-11-12 01:13 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-wasteland-princess-factory-new) Hidden $26.88 41.35 gems $8.68 13.36 gems 0.32x 2026-11-12 01:13 UTC [Galil AR | Phoenix Blacklight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-phoenix-blacklight-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.88 41.35 gems $30.58 47.05 gems 1.14x 2026-11-12 01:13 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.88 41.35 gems $10.20 15.69 gems 0.38x 2026-11-12 01:13 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.88 41.35 gems $10.20 15.69 gems 0.38x 2026-11-12 01:13 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.88 41.35 gems $10.20 15.69 gems 0.38x 2026-11-12 00:40 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.88 41.35 gems $10.20 15.69 gems 0.38x 2026-11-12 00:40 UTC [Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) Hidden $26.88 41.35 gems $5.22 8.03 gems 0.19x 2026-11-12 00:40 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-wasteland-princess-factory-new) [k](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/k) $26.88 41.35 gems $8.68 13.36 gems 0.32x 2026-11-12 00:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $26.88 | 89.98% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 1.0% epic 3.0% rare 3.0% classified 8.0% Mythical 5.0% Ancient 10.0% restricted 20.0% Classified 20.0% Legendary 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt