--- title: "Edge Simulator case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Edge Simulator ($66.59) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 78.46% over 676 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/edge-simulator rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Edge Simulator](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/edge-simulator) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Edge Simulator A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/edge-simulator?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/edge-simulator?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/edge-simulator) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/edge-simulator?window=all) Price · $66.59 · 102 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $59.93 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.46% · 676 openings, odds method Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.22% ±31.79 107 openings 7 days · 79.21% ±13.58 586 openings 30 days · 78.46% ±12.65 676 openings since tracking started · 78.46% ±12.65 676 openings 55.0% 87.3% 119.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/edge-simulator?window=24h) | 107 | 87.22% ±31.8 | −0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/edge-simulator?window=7d) | 586 | 79.21% ±13.6 | −1.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/edge-simulator) | 676 | 78.46% ±12.6 | −1.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/edge-simulator?window=all) | 676 | 78.46% ±12.6 | −1.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 688 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,101 1,694 gems | 9.2% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $465 715 gems | 11.6% | 4 | 10.3 | 0.39× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) | 1 in 33 | $272 418 gems | 13.6% | 17 | 20.6 | 0.82× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $233 358 gems | 19.4% | 30 | 34.4 | 0.87× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) | 10.0% | $108 166 gems | 18.0% | 80 | 68.8 | 1.16× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $64.57 99.34 gems | 10.8% | 62 | 68.8 | 0.90× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $40.62 62.49 gems | 6.8% | 79 | 68.8 | 1.15× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $23.61 36.33 gems | 3.9% | 69 | 68.8 | 1.00× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $12.48 19.2 gems | 5.2% | 178 | 172.0 | 1.03× | | [P250 \| Visions (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $3.46 5.32 gems | 1.4% | 167 | 172.0 | 0.97× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) Hidden $66.59 102 gems $1,101 1,694 gems 16.53x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [★ Karambit | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) Hidden $66.59 102 gems $1,101 1,694 gems 16.53x 2026-11-06 13:37 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=edge-simulator) [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) Hidden $66.59 102 gems $12.48 19.2 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-factory-new) Hidden $66.59 102 gems $233 358 gems 3.50x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) Hidden $66.59 102 gems $12.48 19.2 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-minimal-wear) Hidden $66.59 102 gems $3.46 5.32 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [★ Karambit | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) Hidden $66.59 102 gems $1,101 1,694 gems 16.53x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) [CodeWILDCS 2K LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/CodeWILDCS%202K%20LB) $66.59 102 gems $272 418 gems 4.08x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $66.59 102 gems $108 166 gems 1.62x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $66.59 102 gems $108 166 gems 1.62x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-minimal-wear) Hidden $66.59 102 gems $3.46 5.32 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-minimal-wear) Hidden $66.59 102 gems $3.46 5.32 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $66.59 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 23.5% extraordinary 16.5% Ancient 10.0% pink 50.0% best hit $1,101 (16.53x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt