---
title: "Elysium case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Elysium ($6,982.19) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/elysium
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Elysium](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/elysium)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Elysium

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/elysium?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/elysium?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/elysium) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/elysium?window=all)

Price · $6,982.19 · 10,742 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $6,283.91 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/elysium?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/elysium?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/elysium) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/elysium?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014-2) | 19.0% | $26K 40,000 gems | 78.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 19.0% | $6,793 10,450 gems | 20.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $439 676 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $61.13 94.04 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $40.38 62.12 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Phoenix Blacklight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-phoenix-blacklight-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $25.70 39.54 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $24.81 38.17 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) | 17.0% | $1.16 1.79 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=elysium)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $6,982 | 90.00% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 19.0% covert 37.0% classified 18.0% restricted 9.0% mil spec 17.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt