--- title: "Emerald Dream case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Emerald Dream ($23.34) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 8 items with odds, observed 81.56% over 1,623 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/emerald-dream rendered: 2026-11-11T13:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Emerald Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/emerald-dream) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Emerald Dream A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/emerald-dream?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/emerald-dream?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/emerald-dream) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/emerald-dream?window=all) Price · $23.34 · 35.9 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $21.00 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.56% · 1,623 openings, odds method Variance · 23.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 96.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 76 openings · below min 7 days · 79.86% ±26.28 1,281 openings 30 days · 81.56% ±23.35 1,623 openings since tracking started · 81.56% ±23.35 1,623 openings -0.5% 83.8% 168.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/emerald-dream?window=24h) | 76 | 59.63% ±107.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/emerald-dream?window=7d) | 1,281 | 79.86% ±26.3 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/emerald-dream) | 1,623 | 81.56% ±23.4 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/emerald-dream?window=all) | 1,623 | 81.56% ±23.4 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,645 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,132 10,972 gems | 3.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $2,261 3,478 gems | 9.7% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $394 606 gems | 35.7% | 28 | 31.3 | 0.90× | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $108 167 gems | 10.3% | 38 | 32.9 | 1.16× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $20.38 31.35 gems | 9.7% | 151 | 164.5 | 0.92× | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 12.0% | $19.55 30.08 gems | 11.2% | 186 | 197.4 | 0.94× | | [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 27.0% | $6.77 10.42 gems | 8.7% | 460 | 444.1 | 1.04× | | [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-minimal-wear) | 47.0% | $5.06 7.79 gems | 11.3% | 781 | 773.2 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $23.34 35.9 gems $2,261 3,478 gems 96.89x 2026-11-04 15:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=emerald-dream) [AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.34 35.9 gems $5.06 7.79 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) Hidden $23.34 35.9 gems $6.77 10.42 gems 0.29x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC [AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-minimal-wear) [SupremeTurk](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/SupremeTurk) $23.34 35.9 gems $5.06 7.79 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) Hidden $23.34 35.9 gems $6.77 10.42 gems 0.29x 2026-11-11 07:02 UTC [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) Hidden $23.34 35.9 gems $6.77 10.42 gems 0.29x 2026-11-11 07:02 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) Hidden $23.34 35.9 gems $20.38 31.35 gems 0.87x 2026-11-11 07:02 UTC [AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.34 35.9 gems $5.06 7.79 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 07:02 UTC [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) Hidden $23.34 35.9 gems $6.77 10.42 gems 0.29x 2026-11-11 07:02 UTC [AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-minimal-wear) [Ryfo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Ryfo) $23.34 35.9 gems $5.06 7.79 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 07:02 UTC [AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.34 35.9 gems $5.06 7.79 gems 0.22x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $23.34 | 89.98% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #ffd700 0.1% Covert 1.9% restricted 29.0% covert 10.0% classified 12.0% Mythical 47.0% best hit $2,261 (96.89x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt