--- title: "Empire Builder case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Empire Builder ($38.12) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 102.03% over 89 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/empire-builder rendered: 2026-11-11T15:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Empire Builder](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/empire-builder) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Empire Builder A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/empire-builder?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/empire-builder?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/empire-builder) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/empire-builder?window=all) Price · $38.12 · 58.64 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $34.30 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.03% · 89 openings, odds method Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 55.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 71 openings · below min 30 days · 89 openings · below min since tracking started · 89 openings · below min 71.0% 119.8% 168.5% **Small sample.** 89 openings and 26.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/empire-builder?window=24h) | 12 | 119.65% ±48.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/empire-builder?window=7d) | 71 | 97.12% ±19.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/empire-builder) | 89 | 102.03% ±17.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/empire-builder?window=all) | 89 | 102.03% ±17.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 89 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) | 15.0% | $92.94 143 gems | 40.6% | 19 | 13.3 | 1.42× | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 15.0% | $60.39 92.9 gems | 26.4% | 11 | 13.3 | 0.82× | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) | 15.0% | $47.18 72.59 gems | 20.6% | 14 | 13.3 | 1.05× | | [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $21.12 32.49 gems | 3.1% | 5 | 4.4 | 1.12× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $16.57 25.49 gems | 2.4% | 5 | 4.4 | 1.12× | | [Sticker \| Emperor (Foil) sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-emperor-foil) | 45.0% | $5.21 8.01 gems | 6.8% | 35 | 40.1 | 0.87× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=empire-builder) [AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) Hidden $38.12 58.64 gems $60.39 92.9 gems 1.58x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) Hidden $38.12 58.64 gems $21.12 32.49 gems 0.55x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [Sticker | Emperor (Foil) sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-emperor-foil) Hidden $38.12 58.64 gems $5.21 8.01 gems 0.14x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) Hidden $38.12 58.64 gems $47.18 72.59 gems 1.24x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) Hidden $38.12 58.64 gems $60.39 92.9 gems 1.58x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [Sticker | Emperor (Foil) sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-emperor-foil) Hidden $38.12 58.64 gems $5.21 8.01 gems 0.14x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) Hidden $38.12 58.64 gems $92.94 143 gems 2.44x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) Hidden $38.12 58.64 gems $47.18 72.59 gems 1.24x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) Hidden $38.12 58.64 gems $92.94 143 gems 2.44x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) Hidden $38.12 58.64 gems $16.57 25.49 gems 0.43x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $38.12 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 50.0% restricted 5.0% pink 45.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt