--- title: "Entropy Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Entropy Case ($245.32) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 102.67% over 264 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entropy-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Entropy Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entropy-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Entropy Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entropy-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entropy-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entropy-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entropy-case?window=all) Price · $245.32 · 377 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $220.78 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.67% · 264 openings, odds method Variance · 25.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 108.11% ±62.84 243 openings 30 days · 102.67% ±60.29 264 openings since tracking started · 102.67% ±60.29 264 openings -0.5% 210.5% 421.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entropy-case?window=24h) | 6 | 20.80% ±399.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entropy-case?window=7d) | 243 | 108.11% ±62.8 | +0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entropy-case) | 264 | 102.67% ±60.3 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entropy-case?window=all) | 264 | 102.67% ±60.3 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 268 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Happy (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-happy-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 400 | $23.3K 35,900 gems | 26.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Sticker \| s1mple (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 133 | $3,065 4,716 gems | 10.4% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 67 | $1,953 3,005 gems | 13.3% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $1,332 2,050 gems | 9.1% | 7 | 4.0 | 1.74× | | [AWP \| CMYK (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,073 1,651 gems | 9.7% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.56× | | [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $620 953 gems | 5.6% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.93× | | [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $303 466 gems | 2.7% | 8 | 5.4 | 1.49× | | [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-factory-new) | 20.0% | $123 189 gems | 11.2% | 55 | 53.6 | 1.03× | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) | 70.0% | $36.62 56.34 gems | 11.6% | 184 | 187.6 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Happy (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-happy-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $245 377 gems $23.3K 35,900 gems 95.12x 2026-11-06 20:01 UTC [Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $245 377 gems $3,065 4,716 gems 12.50x 2026-11-09 23:32 UTC [Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $245 377 gems $3,065 4,716 gems 12.50x 2026-11-06 10:40 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $245 377 gems $1,953 3,005 gems 7.96x 2026-11-07 12:33 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $245 377 gems $1,953 3,005 gems 7.96x 2026-11-06 10:50 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $245 377 gems $1,953 3,005 gems 7.96x 2026-11-06 10:42 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $245 377 gems $1,332 2,050 gems 5.43x 2026-11-10 00:00 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $245 377 gems $1,332 2,050 gems 5.43x 2026-11-09 23:37 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) [middlemasluke99](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/middlemasluke99) $245 377 gems $1,332 2,050 gems 5.43x 2026-11-09 23:35 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $245 377 gems $1,332 2,050 gems 5.43x 2026-11-09 23:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=entropy-case) [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) Hidden $245 377 gems $36.62 56.34 gems 0.15x 2026-11-10 19:37 UTC [AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-factory-new) Hidden $245 377 gems $123 189 gems 0.50x 2026-11-10 19:37 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) [Bottavious](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Bottavious) $245 377 gems $36.62 56.34 gems 0.15x 2026-11-10 19:37 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) Hidden $245 377 gems $36.62 56.34 gems 0.15x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) Hidden $245 377 gems $36.62 56.34 gems 0.15x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) [Bottavious](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Bottavious) $245 377 gems $36.62 56.34 gems 0.15x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) Hidden $245 377 gems $36.62 56.34 gems 0.15x 2026-11-10 00:00 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $245 377 gems $1,332 2,050 gems 5.43x 2026-11-10 00:00 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) Hidden $245 377 gems $36.62 56.34 gems 0.15x 2026-11-10 00:00 UTC [AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-factory-new) Hidden $245 377 gems $123 189 gems 0.50x 2026-11-10 00:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $245 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 0.3% Extraordinary 0.8% covert 7.0% red 2.0% pink 20.0% classified 70.0% best hit $23.3K (95.12x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt