---
title: "Entry Frag case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Entry Frag ($98.77) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 102.51% over 1,876 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entry-frag
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Entry Frag](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entry-frag)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Entry Frag

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entry-frag?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entry-frag?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entry-frag) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entry-frag?window=all)

Price · $98.77 · 152 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $88.89 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 102.51% · 1,876 openings, odds method

Variance · 33.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 212 openings · below min

7 days · 102.17% ±27.10 1,758 openings

30 days · 102.51% ±26.24 1,876 openings

since tracking started · 102.51% ±26.24 1,876 openings

19.5% 98.3% 177.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entry-frag?window=24h) | 212 | 98.37% ±78.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entry-frag?window=7d) | 1,758 | 102.17% ±27.1 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entry-frag) | 1,876 | 102.51% ±26.2 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/entry-frag?window=all) | 1,876 | 102.51% ±26.2 | +0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,912 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $7,583 11,667 gems | 42.7% | 14 | 9.6 | 1.46× |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $2,316 3,564 gems | 13.0% | 10 | 9.6 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,382 2,126 gems | 7.8% | 7 | 9.6 | 0.73× |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,033 1,590 gems | 5.8% | 9 | 9.6 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $644 991 gems | 3.6% | 9 | 9.6 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $472 727 gems | 2.7% | 13 | 9.6 | 1.36× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $276 425 gems | 6.2% | 33 | 38.2 | 0.86× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $222 342 gems | 5.0% | 37 | 38.2 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $157 242 gems | 3.5% | 40 | 38.2 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $103 159 gems | 2.3% | 49 | 38.2 | 1.28× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $71.32 110 gems | 1.6% | 26 | 38.2 | 0.68× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $34.39 52.91 gems | 2.7% | 115 | 133.8 | 0.86× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $12.13 18.66 gems | 1.1% | 156 | 153.0 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $5.64 8.67 gems | 0.8% | 238 | 229.4 | 1.04× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 20.0% | $3.04 4.67 gems | 0.7% | 380 | 382.4 | 0.99× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 40.0% | $1.16 1.79 gems | 0.5% | 776 | 764.8 | 1.01× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $7,583 11,667 gems 76.78x 2026-11-11 00:21 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) [Nami-Swan!](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Nami-Swan!) $98.77 152 gems $7,583 11,667 gems 76.78x 2026-11-10 13:56 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $7,583 11,667 gems 76.78x 2026-11-09 12:38 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) [Kick/PapaGambles $20k+ Rewards](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick%2FPapaGambles%20%2420k%2B%20Rewards) $98.77 152 gems $7,583 11,667 gems 76.78x 2026-11-08 19:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $7,583 11,667 gems 76.78x 2026-11-08 00:19 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $7,583 11,667 gems 76.78x 2026-11-05 19:46 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) [milmag](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/milmag) $98.77 152 gems $7,583 11,667 gems 76.78x 2026-11-05 02:13 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $7,583 11,667 gems 76.78x 2026-11-05 02:00 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $7,583 11,667 gems 76.78x 2026-11-05 01:03 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $7,583 11,667 gems 76.78x 2026-11-05 00:41 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=entry-frag)

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $3.04 4.67 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $3.04 4.67 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $3.04 4.67 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $12.13 18.66 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) [rami](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/rami) $98.77 152 gems $157 242 gems 1.59x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:59 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:59 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:59 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $98.77 152 gems $3.04 4.67 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:59 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $98.77 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.5% covert 7.5% classified 10.0% mil spec 30.0% Legendary 12.0% industrial 40.0% best hit $7,583 (76.78x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt