--- title: "error-bigpulls-6percent case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "error-bigpulls-6percent ($3.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.90% over 1,631 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/error-bigpulls-6percent rendered: 2026-11-11T15:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [error-bigpulls-6percent](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/error-bigpulls-6percent) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · error-bigpulls-6percent A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/error-bigpulls-6percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/error-bigpulls-6percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/error-bigpulls-6percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/error-bigpulls-6percent?window=all) Price · $3.25 · 5 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.90% · 1,631 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 558 openings · below min 7 days · 91.23% ±25.00 1,535 openings 30 days · 88.90% ±23.74 1,631 openings since tracking started · 88.90% ±23.74 1,631 openings 64.5% 108.5% 152.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/error-bigpulls-6percent?window=24h) | 558 | 111.44% ±40.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/error-bigpulls-6percent?window=7d) | 1,535 | 91.23% ±25.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/error-bigpulls-6percent) | 1,631 | 88.90% ±23.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/error-bigpulls-6percent?window=all) | 1,631 | 88.90% ±23.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $278 427 gems 85.49x 2026-11-10 14:31 UTC [★ Bayonet knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $278 427 gems 85.49x 2026-11-10 12:30 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $182 281 gems 56.13x 2026-11-11 07:46 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $182 281 gems 56.13x 2026-11-10 23:49 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $182 281 gems 56.13x 2026-11-10 17:31 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $182 281 gems 56.13x 2026-11-10 12:44 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $182 281 gems 56.13x 2026-11-10 12:24 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=error-bigpulls-6percent) [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC [Patch | Metal Silver Demon patch · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-metal-silver-demon) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $21.54 33.14 gems 6.63x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [CODE-NAPE](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/CODE-NAPE) $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:29 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:29 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:29 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $278 (85.49x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.90 on average: an expected loss of $11.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt