---
title: "eSports 2013 Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "eSports 2013 Case ($16.43) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 74 items with odds, observed 98.74% over 1,853 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/esports-2013-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [eSports 2013 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/esports-2013-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · eSports 2013 Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/esports-2013-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/esports-2013-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/esports-2013-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/esports-2013-case?window=all)

Price · $16.43 · 25.27 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $14.78 from 74 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 98.74% · 1,853 openings, odds method

Variance · 9.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 125.85% ±23.74 655 openings

7 days · 100.76% ±15.12 1,614 openings

30 days · 98.74% ±14.11 1,853 openings

since tracking started · 98.74% ±14.11 1,853 openings

84.0% 117.0% 150.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/esports-2013-case?window=24h) | 655 | 125.85% ±23.7 | +3.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/esports-2013-case?window=7d) | 1,614 | 100.76% ±15.1 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/esports-2013-case) | 1,853 | 98.74% ±14.1 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/esports-2013-case?window=all) | 1,853 | 98.74% ±14.1 | +1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 74 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,927 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $3,684 5,667 gems | 1.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $3,119 4,799 gems | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,576 2,425 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,277 1,964 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,169 1,798 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,049 1,614 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,049 1,614 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $943 1,451 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $800 1,230 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $780 1,200 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit) | 1 in 25,000 | $770 1,185 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet) | 1 in 25,000 | $760 1,169 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $747 1,150 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $735 1,131 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $702 1,080 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $614 945 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $611 940 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $568 874 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $567 873 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $541 832 gems | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $487 749 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $483 742 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $458 704 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $456 702 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $442 681 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $442 680 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $429 660 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $429 660 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $413 636 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $394 606 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $388 597 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $358 550 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $354 545 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $351 540 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $300 461 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| ★ (Vanilla) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-vanilla) | 1 in 25,000 | $284 436 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $270 415 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $255 393 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $255 393 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $228 350 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $223 343 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $212 325 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $211 325 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife) | 1 in 25,000 | $211 324 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $210 323 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $209 321 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $201 309 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $194 299 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $192 296 gems | 20.8% | 30 | 30.8 | 0.97× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $182 281 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $173 267 gems | 18.8% | 36 | 30.8 | 1.17× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $155 239 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $155 238 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $143 220 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $139 214 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $135 208 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $133 205 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $109 167 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $85.51 132 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife) | 1 in 25,000 | $80.67 124 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $78.01 120 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $75.74 117 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $74.56 115 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $73.63 113 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $66.05 102 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $63.30 97.38 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $62.86 96.7 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 156 | $27.79 42.75 gems | 1.2% | 14 | 12.3 | 1.14× |
| [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $21.44 32.99 gems | 7.7% | 111 | 102.6 | 1.08× |
| [P250 \| Splash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $17.11 26.33 gems | 6.2% | 114 | 102.6 | 1.11× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $16.55 25.46 gems | 6.0% | 94 | 102.6 | 0.92× |
| [M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-factory-new) | 26.6% | $11.11 17.09 gems | 20.0% | 501 | 513.4 | 0.98× |
| [MAG-7 \| Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-memento-factory-new) | 26.6% | $3.37 5.18 gems | 6.1% | 504 | 513.4 | 0.98× |
| [FAMAS \| Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-minimal-wear) | 26.6% | $2.42 3.72 gems | 4.4% | 521 | 513.4 | 1.01× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $16.43 25.27 gems $3,684 5,667 gems 224.3x 2026-11-10 23:23 UTC

[★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-factory-new) [\[MLP\] Pinkie Pie](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%5BMLP%5D%20%20Pinkie%20Pie) $16.43 25.27 gems $541 832 gems 32.93x 2026-11-03 07:28 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=esports-2013-case)

[FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.43 25.27 gems $2.42 3.72 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:32 UTC

[FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.43 25.27 gems $2.42 3.72 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $16.43 25.27 gems $11.11 17.09 gems 0.68x 2026-11-11 19:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $16.43 25.27 gems $11.11 17.09 gems 0.68x 2026-11-11 19:32 UTC

[FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.43 25.27 gems $2.42 3.72 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-factory-new) [Lupin](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Lupin) $16.43 25.27 gems $11.11 17.09 gems 0.68x 2026-11-11 19:32 UTC

[FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.43 25.27 gems $2.42 3.72 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:09 UTC

[Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $16.43 25.27 gems $21.44 32.99 gems 1.31x 2026-11-11 19:09 UTC

[MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-memento-factory-new) Hidden $16.43 25.27 gems $3.37 5.18 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:09 UTC

[MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-memento-factory-new) [CJ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/CJ) $16.43 25.27 gems $3.37 5.18 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $16.43 | 90.00% | 74 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.8% Covert 0.0% Immortal 0.0% covert knife 0.0% knifes 0.0% other 0.0% sunny 0.0% classified 3.2% violet 5.3% restricted 10.7% mil spec 79.9% best hit $3,684 (224.3x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt