--- title: "Explorer case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Explorer ($1,090.28) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 83.48% over 146 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/explorer rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Explorer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/explorer) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Explorer A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/explorer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/explorer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/explorer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/explorer?window=all) Price · $1,090.28 · 1,677 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $981.25 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.48% · 146 openings, odds method Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 84.35% ±36.85 134 openings 30 days · 83.48% ±35.30 146 openings since tracking started · 83.48% ±35.30 146 openings 22.5% 94.3% 166.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/explorer?window=24h) | 36 | 94.49% ±71.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/explorer?window=7d) | 134 | 84.35% ±36.9 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/explorer) | 146 | 83.48% ±35.3 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/explorer?window=all) | 146 | 83.48% ±35.3 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 146 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8,936 13,748 gems | 45.5% | 9 | 7.3 | 1.23× | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $6,912 10,633 gems | 35.2% | 4 | 7.3 | 0.55× | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1,437 2,211 gems | 14.6% | 13 | 14.6 | 0.89× | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 10.0% | $226 347 gems | 2.3% | 15 | 14.6 | 1.03× | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 15.0% | $75.93 117 gems | 1.2% | 12 | 21.9 | 0.55× | | [AWP \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) | 15.0% | $24.89 38.29 gems | 0.4% | 21 | 21.9 | 0.96× | | [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-factory-new) | 20.0% | $23.89 36.75 gems | 0.5% | 33 | 29.2 | 1.13× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 20.0% | $13.44 20.68 gems | 0.3% | 39 | 29.2 | 1.34× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 8.20x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 8.20x 2026-11-11 00:21 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 8.20x 2026-11-10 03:09 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 8.20x 2026-11-09 00:22 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 8.20x 2026-11-09 00:18 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $1,090 1,677 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 8.20x 2026-11-07 01:08 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 8.20x 2026-11-06 00:12 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) [Chuck](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Chuck) $1,090 1,677 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 8.20x 2026-11-05 14:53 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 8.20x 2026-11-03 17:31 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $6,912 10,633 gems 6.34x 2026-11-11 00:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=explorer) [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 8.20x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $23.89 36.75 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [AWP | Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $24.89 38.29 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $23.89 36.75 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [AWP | Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $24.89 38.29 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $1,090 1,677 gems $13.44 20.68 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $1,437 2,211 gems 1.32x 2026-11-11 00:27 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $6,912 10,633 gems 6.34x 2026-11-11 00:27 UTC [AWP | Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $24.89 38.29 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 00:27 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,090 1,677 gems $13.44 20.68 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 00:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1,090 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 30.0% legendary 5.0% classified 25.0% Restricted 20.0% red 20.0% best hit $8,936 (8.20x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt