--- title: "Fame or Fortune case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Fame or Fortune ($106.83) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 4 items with odds, observed 89.53% over 110 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fame-or-fortune rendered: 2026-11-11T21:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Fame or Fortune](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fame-or-fortune) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Fame or Fortune A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fame-or-fortune?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fame-or-fortune?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fame-or-fortune) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fame-or-fortune?window=all) Price · $106.83 · 164 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $96.15 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.53% · 110 openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 88.01% ±16.70 106 openings 30 days · 89.53% ±16.40 110 openings since tracking started · 89.53% ±16.40 110 openings 70.5% 143.3% 216.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fame-or-fortune?window=24h) | 6 | 145.36% ±70.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fame-or-fortune?window=7d) | 106 | 88.01% ±16.7 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fame-or-fortune) | 110 | 89.53% ±16.4 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fame-or-fortune?window=all) | 110 | 89.53% ±16.4 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 110 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) | 25.0% | $206 316 gems | 53.4% | 26 | 27.5 | 0.95× | | [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-factory-new) | 25.0% | $173 266 gems | 44.9% | 29 | 27.5 | 1.05× | | [Sticker \| fame (Gold) \| Rio 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-gold-rio-2022) | 25.0% | $4.02 6.18 gems | 1.0% | 24 | 27.5 | 0.87× | | [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 25.0% | $2.24 3.45 gems | 0.6% | 31 | 27.5 | 1.13× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=fame-or-fortune) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) Hidden $107 164 gems $206 316 gems 1.92x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [P250 | Apep's Curse (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-factory-new) Hidden $107 164 gems $173 266 gems 1.62x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) Hidden $107 164 gems $2.24 3.45 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [P250 | Apep's Curse (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-factory-new) Hidden $107 164 gems $173 266 gems 1.62x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [P250 | Apep's Curse (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-factory-new) Hidden $107 164 gems $173 266 gems 1.62x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Headed](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Headed) $107 164 gems $206 316 gems 1.92x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [Sticker | fame (Gold) | Rio 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-gold-rio-2022) Hidden $107 164 gems $4.02 6.18 gems 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:53 UTC [Sticker | fame (Gold) | Rio 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-gold-rio-2022) Hidden $107 164 gems $4.02 6.18 gems 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:53 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) Hidden $107 164 gems $2.24 3.45 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 19:53 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) Hidden $107 164 gems $2.24 3.45 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 19:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $107 | 90.00% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 25.0% Classified 25.0% Extraordinary 25.0% restricted 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt