--- title: "Farmers Arsenal case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Farmers Arsenal ($3.03) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 7 items with odds, observed 89.49% over 2,051 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/farmers-arsenal rendered: 2026-11-12T03:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Farmers Arsenal](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/farmers-arsenal) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Farmers Arsenal A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/farmers-arsenal?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/farmers-arsenal?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/farmers-arsenal) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/farmers-arsenal?window=all) Price · $3.03 · 4.66 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $2.73 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.49% · 2,051 openings, odds method Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 40.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 86.76% ±12.57 159 openings 7 days · 88.62% ±4.09 1,505 openings 30 days · 89.49% ±3.50 2,051 openings since tracking started · 89.49% ±3.50 2,051 openings 73.5% 86.8% 100.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/farmers-arsenal?window=24h) | 159 | 86.76% ±12.6 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/farmers-arsenal?window=7d) | 1,505 | 88.62% ±4.09 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/farmers-arsenal) | 2,051 | 89.49% ±3.50 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/farmers-arsenal?window=all) | 2,051 | 89.49% ±3.50 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,067 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sawed-Off \| Copper (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $44.26 68.09 gems | 1.6% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.45× | | [Glock-18 \| Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-field-tested) | 29.9% | $4.76 7.33 gems | 52.3% | 599 | 618.0 | 0.97× | | [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 30.0% | $3.94 6.06 gems | 43.4% | 627 | 620.1 | 1.01× | | [Glock-18 \| Red Tire (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-red-tire-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.70 1.07 gems | 1.3% | 103 | 103.3 | 1.00× | | [Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.20 0.31 gems | 0.7% | 234 | 206.7 | 1.13× | | [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.17 0.26 gems | 0.6% | 178 | 206.7 | 0.86× | | [MP5-SD \| Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-well-worn) | 15.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 0.1% | 323 | 310.1 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=farmers-arsenal) [Glock-18 | Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-field-tested) Hidden $3.03 4.66 gems $4.76 7.33 gems 1.57x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.03 4.66 gems $0.17 0.26 gems 0.06x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) Hidden $3.03 4.66 gems $3.94 6.06 gems 1.30x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC [Glock-18 | Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-field-tested) [KarsiK](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/KarsiK) $3.03 4.66 gems $4.76 7.33 gems 1.57x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) Hidden $3.03 4.66 gems $3.94 6.06 gems 1.30x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) Hidden $3.03 4.66 gems $3.94 6.06 gems 1.30x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC [Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-factory-new) Hidden $3.03 4.66 gems $0.20 0.31 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC [Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-factory-new) [KarsiK](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/KarsiK) $3.03 4.66 gems $0.20 0.31 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC [MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-well-worn) Hidden $3.03 4.66 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) Hidden $3.03 4.66 gems $3.94 6.06 gems 1.30x 2026-11-12 01:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $3.03 | 89.97% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed mil spec 0.1% Restricted 29.9% Legendary 30.0% industrial 5.0% Industrial Grade 10.0% Uncommon 10.0% #B0C3D9 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt