--- title: "Fat Stack case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fat Stack ($185.30) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 74.45% over 1,167 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fat-stack rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Fat Stack](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fat-stack) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Fat Stack A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fat-stack?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fat-stack?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fat-stack) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fat-stack?window=all) Price · $185.30 · 285 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $166.77 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 74.45% · 1,167 openings, odds method Variance · 27.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 63 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 130 openings · below min 7 days · 76.24% ±32.93 984 openings 30 days · 74.45% ±30.24 1,167 openings since tracking started · 74.45% ±30.24 1,167 openings 36.0% 127.3% 218.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fat-stack?window=24h) | 130 | 127.21% ±90.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fat-stack?window=7d) | 984 | 76.24% ±32.9 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fat-stack) | 1,167 | 74.45% ±30.2 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fat-stack?window=all) | 1,167 | 74.45% ±30.2 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,185 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $19.8K 30,387 gems | 17.8% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 400 | $8,622 13,265 gems | 12.9% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.68× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 333 | $5,328 8,197 gems | 9.6% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $3,686 5,671 gems | 8.8% | 9 | 4.7 | 1.90× | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $2,649 4,076 gems | 7.9% | 3 | 5.9 | 0.51× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $1,814 2,790 gems | 6.5% | 10 | 7.1 | 1.41× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $896 1,379 gems | 4.3% | 9 | 9.5 | 0.95× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 100 | $634 975 gems | 3.8% | 7 | 11.8 | 0.59× | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $443 682 gems | 2.7% | 7 | 11.8 | 0.59× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $216 332 gems | 6.5% | 54 | 59.3 | 0.91× | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $96.85 149 gems | 2.9% | 57 | 59.3 | 0.96× | | [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 85.0% | $31.95 49.15 gems | 16.3% | 1,026 | 1007.3 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) Hidden $185 285 gems $19.8K 30,387 gems 106.6x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $185 285 gems $8,622 13,265 gems 46.53x 2026-11-08 17:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $185 285 gems $8,622 13,265 gems 46.53x 2026-11-03 16:04 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $185 285 gems $3,686 5,671 gems 19.89x 2026-11-10 00:01 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $185 285 gems $3,686 5,671 gems 19.89x 2026-11-09 23:57 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $185 285 gems $3,686 5,671 gems 19.89x 2026-11-08 17:50 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $185 285 gems $3,686 5,671 gems 19.89x 2026-11-08 17:47 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $185 285 gems $3,686 5,671 gems 19.89x 2026-11-07 21:20 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $185 285 gems $3,686 5,671 gems 19.89x 2026-11-07 15:32 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $185 285 gems $3,686 5,671 gems 19.89x 2026-11-07 08:12 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=fat-stack) [M4A1-S | Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) Hidden $185 285 gems $31.95 49.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $185 285 gems $96.85 149 gems 0.52x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) Hidden $185 285 gems $31.95 49.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) Hidden $185 285 gems $31.95 49.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) Hidden $185 285 gems $31.95 49.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) [Ola](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Ola) $185 285 gems $31.95 49.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) Hidden $185 285 gems $31.95 49.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) Hidden $185 285 gems $31.95 49.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) Hidden $185 285 gems $31.95 49.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) Hidden $185 285 gems $31.95 49.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $185 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 6.2% Covert 0.3% covert 93.1% classified 0.5% best hit $19.8K (106.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt