--- title: "Fidget Spinner case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Fidget Spinner ($17.26) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 12 items with odds, observed 96.39% over 4,434 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fidget-spinner rendered: 2026-11-11T22:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Fidget Spinner](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fidget-spinner) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Fidget Spinner A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fidget-spinner?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fidget-spinner?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fidget-spinner) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fidget-spinner?window=all) Price · $17.26 · 26.56 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $15.53 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.39% · 4,434 openings, odds method Variance · 16.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 32 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 126.52% ±34.19 541 openings 7 days · 97.82% ±12.93 3,781 openings 30 days · 96.39% ±11.94 4,434 openings since tracking started · 96.39% ±11.94 4,434 openings 84.0% 122.8% 161.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fidget-spinner?window=24h) | 541 | 126.52% ±34.2 | +2.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fidget-spinner?window=7d) | 3,781 | 97.82% ±12.9 | +1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fidget-spinner) | 4,434 | 96.39% ±11.9 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fidget-spinner?window=all) | 4,434 | 96.39% ±11.9 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,498 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,458 2,243 gems | 4.7% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.89× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $858 1,320 gems | 11.0% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $611 940 gems | 7.9% | 18 | 9.0 | 2.00× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $540 831 gems | 7.0% | 10 | 9.0 | 1.11× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $338 520 gems | 10.9% | 19 | 22.5 | 0.84× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $247 379 gems | 7.9% | 25 | 22.5 | 1.11× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $113 174 gems | 11.0% | 64 | 67.5 | 0.95× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $91.55 141 gems | 11.8% | 95 | 90.0 | 1.06× | | [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-factory-new) | 10.0% | $19.64 30.22 gems | 12.6% | 467 | 449.8 | 1.04× | | [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-factory-new) | 20.0% | $5.85 9 gems | 7.5% | 900 | 899.6 | 1.00× | | [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $2.15 3.31 gems | 4.2% | 1,359 | 1349.4 | 1.01× | | [Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-factory-new) | 34.8% | $1.58 2.43 gems | 3.5% | 1,531 | 1567.6 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $1,458 2,243 gems 84.43x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $1,458 2,243 gems 84.43x 2026-11-11 09:31 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $858 1,320 gems 49.70x 2026-11-11 15:46 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $858 1,320 gems 49.70x 2026-11-11 01:32 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $858 1,320 gems 49.70x 2026-11-07 22:31 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $858 1,320 gems 49.70x 2026-11-07 11:25 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $858 1,320 gems 49.70x 2026-11-05 11:45 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $858 1,320 gems 49.70x 2026-11-05 11:09 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $858 1,320 gems 49.70x 2026-11-05 09:14 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $858 1,320 gems 49.70x 2026-11-03 09:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=fidget-spinner) [Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-factory-new) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $5.85 9 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-factory-new) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $5.85 9 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-factory-new) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $5.85 9 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-factory-new) [Unused Sour Cream](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Unused%20Sour%20Cream) $17.26 26.56 gems $19.64 30.22 gems 1.14x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-factory-new) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $1.58 2.43 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.26 26.56 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $17.26 | 89.97% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.3% epic 0.2% #ffd700 0.2% covert 1.0% gold 1.5% covert knife 2.0% mil spec 10.0% restricted 20.0% #d32ee6 30.0% violet 34.8% best hit $1,458 (84.43x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt